Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 169.54
Price - 52 Week High: 174.92
Price - 52 Week Low: 98.18
Price Date (Latest): 12/6/19
Median Price Target: 193.50
Diff from Prev Close: 23.96
% Difference: 14.13

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.17

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 10.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 2.80
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 15.70
Yield (%): 1.65

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 17.26 18.65 15.10 17.47 8 2 2 0.68
Annual 12/1/20 16.77 18.04 15.50 16.68 12 7 1 5.42
Annual 12/1/19 14.50 14.75 14.25 14.53 10 3 -- -0.06
Quarterly 3/1/20 4.38 5.06 3.97 4.44 10 4 1 2.59
Quarterly 6/1/20 5.27 5.91 4.56 5.29 10 4 1 4.72
Quarterly 9/1/20 3.05 3.75 2.75 2.98 10 4 1 5.95
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.89 4.22 3.55 3.83 12 3 1 -0.45
Long Term Growth 20.70 26.30 14.71 21.10 3 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 10.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 9.55 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 13.21 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 2.70 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.33 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.74 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.56 -- --

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 42.66
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 80.25 80.25 80.25 80.25 1 1 -- -0.11
Annual 12/1/20 67.93 67.93 67.93 67.93 1 1 -- 2.24
Annual 12/1/19 54.26 54.26 54.26 54.26 1 -- -- -0.02

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 42.66 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 34.11 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 28.47 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 22.33
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 26.05 26.05 26.05 26.05 1 1 -- -4.09
Annual 12/1/20 32.00 36.24 27.75 32.00 2 2 -- 18.96
Annual 12/1/19 25.09 25.09 25.09 25.09 1 -- 1 -1.92
Quarterly 3/1/20 12.63 12.63 12.63 12.63 1 1 -- 46.29
Quarterly 6/1/20 9.29 9.29 9.29 9.29 1 1 -- 24.80
Quarterly 9/1/20 7.15 7.15 7.15 7.15 1 1 -- 38.86
Quarterly 12/1/19 5.04 5.04 5.04 5.04 1 -- 1 -15.68

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 22.33 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 23.91 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 21.04 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 2.74 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 7.31 -- --

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.80 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 2.82 2.87 2.80 2.80 4 1 -- 0.39
Annual 12/1/19 2.81 2.85 2.80 2.80 4 1 -- 0.09
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 2.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2.40 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.70 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.70 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.70 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.70 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 243.46
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 431.26 465.66 381.30 455.40 5 1 2 -2.48
Annual 12/1/20 405.92 424.36 361.00 410.05 8 3 2 0.76
Annual 12/1/19 365.71 371.70 360.00 364.00 7 -- 1 0.37
Quarterly 3/1/20 106.96 116.80 96.00 109.00 5 1 1 -0.08
Quarterly 6/1/20 121.00 126.40 112.00 124.30 5 -- 2 -1.34
Quarterly 9/1/20 76.03 82.27 69.00 76.70 5 -- 2 0.12
Quarterly 12/1/19 95.26 100.41 92.50 93.00 5 -- 1 1.48

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 243.46 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 262.50 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 370.56 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 72.12 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 108.11 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 91.08 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 63.09 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 373.68
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 630.73 661.55 539.00 642.28 7 1 2 -0.31
Annual 12/1/20 583.12 608.80 524.00 586.50 11 4 1 1.04
Annual 12/1/19 523.83 533.82 513.00 524.20 11 -- 1 0.08
Quarterly 3/1/20 150.83 159.60 143.41 152.50 5 1 1 1.30
Quarterly 6/1/20 168.11 172.20 161.90 169.30 5 1 1 0.40
Quarterly 9/1/20 123.49 128.71 120.42 123.40 5 1 -- 2.43
Quarterly 12/1/19 139.71 148.10 133.20 139.85 6 -- 1 -0.82

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 373.68 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 387.31 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 476.70 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 111.55 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 146.60 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 127.26 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 99.90 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 10.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 16.85 18.10 14.79 17.20 7 -- 2 -2.27
Annual 12/1/20 16.46 18.04 15.50 16.40 10 4 1 2.06
Annual 12/1/19 14.50 14.75 14.25 14.53 10 2 1 -0.01
Quarterly 3/1/20 4.40 5.06 3.96 4.46 9 3 -- 2.53
Quarterly 6/1/20 5.16 5.54 4.56 5.23 9 2 1 1.47
Quarterly 9/1/20 2.94 3.34 2.74 2.97 9 2 1 0.33
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.88 4.22 3.55 3.83 10 2 1 -0.61

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 10.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 11.93 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 13.21 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 2.70 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.33 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.52 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.56 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 875.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 550.48 924.17 176.80 550.48 2 -- 2 -27.29
Annual 12/1/20 657.12 1,159.65 154.60 657.12 2 1 1 -24.54
Annual 12/1/19 609.30 968.90 249.70 609.30 2 -- 1 -29.20

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 875.70 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 752.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 474.29 -- --

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 159.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 273.77 299.05 242.10 286.00 5 1 3 -0.75
Annual 12/1/20 266.43 289.26 225.00 267.45 8 5 1 4.78
Annual 12/1/19 232.74 238.00 229.00 232.58 6 2 -- 0.85
Quarterly 3/1/20 71.12 81.20 60.00 71.40 5 2 -- 4.46
Quarterly 6/1/20 81.99 88.84 72.00 85.80 5 1 1 2.71
Quarterly 9/1/20 47.19 53.54 40.00 47.50 5 2 -- 5.93
Quarterly 12/1/19 60.53 64.17 57.00 61.00 5 2 1 2.06

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 159.70 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 156.10 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 219.59 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 43.93 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 69.55 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 59.96 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 40.94 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 25.79
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 22.25 24.10 20.40 22.25 2 -- -- -5.06
Annual 12/1/20 26.60 27.00 26.20 26.60 2 -- -- 6.86
Annual 12/1/19 29.88 30.60 29.30 29.73 3 -- -- 1.66

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 25.79 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 28.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 53.32 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,667.45
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2,248.17 2,325.00 2,123.00 2,251.70 7 2 2 -0.01
Annual 12/1/20 2,026.41 2,095.40 1,976.05 2,017.50 11 4 3 -0.07
Annual 12/1/19 1,839.70 1,848.00 1,828.70 1,841.91 11 -- 2 -0.04
Quarterly 3/1/20 504.96 528.10 484.34 502.21 7 3 -- 0.64
Quarterly 6/1/20 537.12 546.63 527.38 537.16 7 2 1 0.08
Quarterly 9/1/20 474.30 482.31 468.10 473.70 7 1 2 -0.17
Quarterly 12/1/19 458.39 463.60 448.80 457.60 9 -- 2 -0.11

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,667.45 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 1,503.78 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 1,362.83 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 436.51 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 491.80 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 451.62 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 412.11 -- --

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 16.95 11.70 10.11

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 15.69 2.88