Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 142.39
Price - 52 Week High: 149.29
Price - 52 Week Low: 98.18
Price Date (Latest): 6/19/19
Median Price Target: 157.57
Diff from Prev Close: 15.18
% Difference: 10.66

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.13

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 10.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 2.80
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 15.70
Yield (%): 1.97

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 16.05 18.50 13.11 15.70 7 -- 1 -0.24
Annual 12/1/20 14.43 16.76 10.67 14.78 16 1 1 0.06
Annual 12/1/19 13.28 14.25 11.41 13.40 14 2 -- 0.29
Quarterly 3/1/20 3.73 4.13 3.25 3.91 7 1 -- 1.08
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.63 5.01 4.03 4.65 15 1 2 -0.44
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.88 2.51 1.20 1.91 15 3 -- 4.71
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.23 4.03 1.84 3.24 15 2 1 0.73
Long Term Growth 21.36 28.00 14.72 21.36 2 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 10.00 9.97 0.33
Annual 12/1/17 9.55 8.56 11.52
Annual 12/1/16 13.21 13.19 0.18
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.52 3.88 -9.34
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.56 2.47 3.49
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.94 0.96 -2.04
Quarterly 6/1/18 3.10 2.71 14.31

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 42.66
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 76.11 77.82 73.80 76.72 3 -- 1 -0.38
Annual 12/1/20 63.33 65.50 61.59 62.89 3 -- 1 -0.14
Annual 12/1/19 52.32 53.47 50.18 53.32 3 1 -- 0.09
Quarterly 3/1/20 54.47 54.47 54.47 54.47 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 45.76 45.76 45.76 45.76 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 48.19 48.19 48.19 48.19 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 50.17 50.17 50.17 50.17 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 42.66 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 34.11 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 28.47 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 45.34 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 42.66 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 40.41 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 39.88 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 22.33
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 26.27 26.66 25.89 26.27 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 26.06 28.68 24.26 25.25 3 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 24.01 25.00 23.02 24.01 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 8.51 11.39 5.62 8.51 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 7.32 7.62 7.02 7.32 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 3.70 4.37 3.03 3.70 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 5.10 5.85 4.35 5.10 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 22.33 37.24 -40.03
Annual 12/1/17 23.91 18.71 27.78
Annual 12/1/16 21.04 22.90 -8.10
Quarterly 12/1/18 4.16 4.37 -4.72
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.43 3.50 -87.71
Quarterly 6/1/18 6.70 5.03 33.29

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2.81 2.85 2.80 2.80 5 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 2.87 3.23 2.80 2.80 7 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 2.83 2.94 2.80 2.80 7 1 -- 0.05
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 2.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2.40 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.70 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.70 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.70 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.70 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 243.46
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 423.45 495.78 380.00 411.45 6 -- 1 -0.15
Annual 12/1/20 371.71 406.01 317.00 378.00 11 -- 1 -0.34
Annual 12/1/19 347.54 366.00 326.80 345.24 11 1 1 -0.02
Quarterly 3/1/20 93.05 99.00 86.80 93.20 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 114.17 123.40 105.50 113.73 8 -- 1 -0.13
Quarterly 9/1/19 54.72 65.40 42.20 55.79 8 1 -- 4.09
Quarterly 12/1/19 87.23 104.90 76.23 86.11 8 1 -- 0.07

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 243.46 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 262.50 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 370.56 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 91.08 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 63.09 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 26.18 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 74.22 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 373.68
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 607.07 673.00 537.60 600.40 5 -- 1 -0.14
Annual 12/1/20 541.75 587.80 455.40 549.60 12 -- 1 -0.12
Annual 12/1/19 503.82 520.00 481.60 502.90 11 1 1 -0.09
Quarterly 3/1/20 129.76 133.73 127.66 127.90 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 152.04 161.30 143.50 151.47 7 -- 1 -0.18
Quarterly 9/1/19 94.01 104.40 81.70 95.02 7 1 -- 2.57
Quarterly 12/1/19 129.70 146.20 117.91 127.70 7 -- 1 -0.02

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 373.68 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 387.31 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 476.70 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 127.26 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 99.90 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 61.51 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 104.13 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 10.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 16.29 18.50 13.11 17.25 3 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 14.50 16.76 10.67 14.91 12 1 -- 0.10
Annual 12/1/19 13.25 14.25 11.41 13.45 11 2 -- 0.52
Quarterly 3/1/20 3.69 3.97 3.31 3.74 4 1 -- 1.94
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.62 5.01 4.00 4.70 11 -- 2 -0.76
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.81 2.51 1.20 1.80 11 2 -- 5.74
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.17 3.65 1.84 3.24 11 2 -- 1.63

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 10.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 11.93 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 13.21 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.52 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.56 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.94 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 3.10 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 875.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 934.09 1,427.16 389.60 943.96 5 -- 1 -2.36
Annual 12/1/20 933.85 1,589.92 364.30 962.98 6 -- 1 -2.15
Annual 12/1/19 910.64 1,661.60 328.70 893.91 6 -- 1 -2.31
Quarterly 3/1/20 1,596.75 1,596.75 1,596.75 1,596.75 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,376.55 1,376.55 1,376.55 1,376.55 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 1,527.48 1,527.48 1,527.48 1,527.48 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 1,058.30 1,661.60 455.00 1,058.30 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 875.70 732.34 19.58
Annual 12/1/17 752.80 1,024.86 -26.55
Annual 12/1/16 474.29 475.29 -0.21
Quarterly 3/1/19 827.50 1,272.47 -34.97
Quarterly 12/1/18 875.70 780.36 12.22
Quarterly 9/1/18 887.70 1,046.45 -15.17
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,901.20 1,041.71 82.51

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 159.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 261.45 298.00 239.96 249.48 5 -- 1 -0.21
Annual 12/1/20 231.19 268.39 208.20 228.00 11 -- 1 -0.40
Annual 12/1/19 213.22 227.20 197.80 214.62 10 2 -- 0.23
Quarterly 3/1/20 58.08 64.00 52.03 58.15 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 73.97 79.70 65.00 74.17 8 -- 1 -0.42
Quarterly 9/1/19 29.76 36.90 19.10 30.18 8 1 -- 5.92
Quarterly 12/1/19 52.13 58.20 47.73 52.05 8 1 -- 0.26

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 159.70 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 156.10 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 219.59 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 56.33 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 40.94 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 15.15 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 49.36 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 25.79
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 23.40 25.30 21.10 23.61 4 -- -- -0.19
Annual 12/1/20 24.66 25.60 22.45 25.30 4 -- -- -0.15
Annual 12/1/19 28.04 29.60 27.35 27.60 4 -- -- -0.03
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 25.79 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 28.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 53.32 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,667.45
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2,226.62 2,326.90 2,185.97 2,199.17 6 -- 1 -0.09
Annual 12/1/20 2,032.73 2,127.90 1,965.16 2,032.27 14 -- 2 -0.26
Annual 12/1/19 1,843.68 1,872.19 1,819.09 1,843.00 13 -- 3 -0.13
Quarterly 3/1/20 502.45 510.00 485.31 506.34 6 -- 1 -0.24
Quarterly 6/1/19 506.85 514.37 496.90 508.61 12 -- 2 -0.17
Quarterly 9/1/19 430.90 445.36 421.06 430.46 12 1 1 -0.01
Quarterly 12/1/19 456.23 482.10 442.86 453.40 12 -- 2 -0.11

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,667.45 1,666.19 0.08
Annual 12/1/17 1,503.78 1,502.32 0.10
Annual 12/1/16 1,362.83 1,361.66 0.09
Quarterly 3/1/19 451.62 452.54 -0.20
Quarterly 12/1/18 412.11 410.91 0.29
Quarterly 9/1/18 393.11 390.39 0.70
Quarterly 6/1/18 436.80 438.34 -0.35

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 14.24 10.72 9.87

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 33.24 8.68 11.22