Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 137.02
Price - 52 Week High: 181.45
Price - 52 Week Low: 98.18
Price Date (Latest): 2/22/19
Median Price Target: 159.86
Diff from Prev Close: 22.84
% Difference: 16.67

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.13

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 10.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 2.82
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 7.56
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 40.55
Yield (%): 2.06

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 16.18 17.53 15.06 15.70 5 -- -- -0.55
Annual 12/1/20 14.50 17.82 12.67 14.59 15 8 -- 7.36
Annual 12/1/19 13.49 15.10 12.35 13.50 16 10 2 4.46
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.92 4.26 3.36 3.90 15 8 3 1.41
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.61 5.20 4.15 4.49 15 11 2 6.99
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.81 2.59 1.20 1.71 15 8 5 3.54
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.13 3.88 2.56 3.09 15 7 3 5.88
Long Term Growth 14.72 14.72 14.72 14.72 1 -- 1 -5.77

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 10.00 9.97 0.33
Annual 12/1/17 9.55 8.56 11.52
Annual 12/1/16 13.21 13.19 0.18
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.56 2.47 3.49
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.94 0.96 -2.04
Quarterly 6/1/18 3.10 2.71 14.31
Quarterly 3/1/18 3.42 3.01 13.66

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 102.78 154.80 76.59 76.95 3 1 -- 25.49
Annual 12/1/20 90.07 143.00 62.96 64.26 3 3 -- 33.43
Annual 12/1/19 79.49 132.80 52.08 53.60 3 3 -- 36.83
Quarterly 3/1/19 104.98 104.98 104.98 104.98 1 1 -- 52.52
Quarterly 6/1/19 137.22 137.22 137.22 137.22 1 1 -- 62.25
Quarterly 9/1/19 140.37 140.37 140.37 140.37 1 1 -- 63.30
Quarterly 12/1/19 132.80 132.80 132.80 132.80 1 1 -- 65.08

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 34.11 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 28.47 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 40.41 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 39.88 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 37.14 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 25.56 25.71 25.40 25.56 2 -- 1 0.65
Annual 12/1/20 26.39 29.89 24.55 24.74 3 1 1 14.50
Annual 12/1/19 24.29 25.81 22.78 24.29 3 3 -- 7.38
Quarterly 3/1/19 7.96 9.80 6.11 7.96 2 2 -- 9.06
Quarterly 6/1/19 7.20 7.53 6.87 7.20 2 2 -- 10.71
Quarterly 9/1/19 3.91 4.11 3.71 3.91 2 1 1 8.72
Quarterly 12/1/19 5.23 5.68 4.78 5.23 2 1 -- -0.40

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 23.91 18.71 27.78
Annual 12/1/16 21.04 22.90 -8.10
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.43 3.50 -87.71
Quarterly 6/1/18 6.70 5.03 33.29
Quarterly 3/1/18 10.88 6.92 57.10

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.80 4 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 2.87 3.23 2.80 2.80 7 -- 2 -1.24
Annual 12/1/19 2.83 2.94 2.80 2.80 7 -- 2 -0.05
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 2.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2.40 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.70 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.70 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.70 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.70 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 243.46
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 405.32 439.47 379.40 401.21 4 1 -- 6.42
Annual 12/1/20 378.13 440.27 317.00 377.40 9 8 1 9.94
Annual 12/1/19 351.27 379.80 313.80 350.57 10 10 -- 8.11
Quarterly 3/1/19 98.31 107.10 92.90 96.75 8 7 1 6.99
Quarterly 6/1/19 114.82 129.60 106.00 112.91 8 8 -- 12.75
Quarterly 9/1/19 54.22 70.80 39.20 54.04 8 7 1 10.20
Quarterly 12/1/19 83.60 92.30 70.30 83.80 8 6 1 8.09

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 243.46 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 262.50 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 370.56 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 63.09 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 26.18 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 74.22 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 80.00 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 373.68
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 580.96 644.00 536.30 571.78 4 -- 1 7.71
Annual 12/1/20 523.03 591.70 429.80 521.10 13 5 3 6.17
Annual 12/1/19 495.67 534.70 434.00 500.20 13 9 -- 7.44
Quarterly 3/1/19 135.62 142.80 128.80 137.11 6 4 -- 11.60
Quarterly 6/1/19 148.51 166.50 124.00 150.60 6 4 -- 8.82
Quarterly 9/1/19 93.67 110.60 76.20 95.10 6 3 2 6.78
Quarterly 12/1/19 124.00 136.40 110.30 124.85 6 3 -- 11.65

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 373.68 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 387.31 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 476.70 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 99.90 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 61.51 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 104.13 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 108.14 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 10.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 17.50 17.50 17.50 17.50 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 14.60 17.82 12.75 14.61 10 5 -- 6.93
Annual 12/1/19 13.34 15.10 11.85 13.00 11 8 -- 10.50
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.87 4.26 3.22 3.96 9 6 1 8.89
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.59 5.20 4.10 4.47 9 5 -- 13.43
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.78 2.59 1.20 1.73 9 4 4 3.87
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.10 3.60 2.64 3.09 9 5 -- 7.52

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 10.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 11.93 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 13.21 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.56 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.94 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 3.10 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 3.42 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 875.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 987.33 1,290.45 539.90 1,131.64 3 1 -- 51.37
Annual 12/1/20 923.73 1,374.32 490.00 1,008.18 5 3 1 4.32
Annual 12/1/19 891.31 1,345.56 455.00 1,042.58 5 3 1 6.39
Quarterly 3/1/19 1,145.68 1,145.68 1,145.68 1,145.68 1 1 -- 8.00
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,132.69 1,132.69 1,132.69 1,132.69 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 1,157.54 1,157.54 1,157.54 1,157.54 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 805.01 1,155.03 455.00 805.01 2 -- 1 -43.86

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 875.70 732.34 19.58
Annual 12/1/17 752.80 1,024.86 -26.55
Annual 12/1/16 474.29 475.29 -0.21
Quarterly 12/1/18 875.70 780.36 12.22
Quarterly 9/1/18 887.70 1,046.45 -15.17
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,901.20 1,041.71 82.51
Quarterly 3/1/18 747.74 1,068.67 -30.03

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 159.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 251.31 273.80 239.26 246.09 4 1 -- 4.02
Annual 12/1/20 232.59 284.88 202.85 235.41 10 8 -- 8.35
Annual 12/1/19 215.63 240.30 197.50 212.46 11 7 2 4.42
Quarterly 3/1/19 63.91 68.00 60.43 64.38 8 6 1 5.45
Quarterly 6/1/19 74.28 82.80 65.00 72.95 8 7 1 9.64
Quarterly 9/1/19 27.99 41.10 19.20 26.80 8 4 2 3.04
Quarterly 12/1/19 50.03 57.60 43.20 49.77 8 4 3 3.11

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 159.70 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 156.10 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 219.59 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 40.94 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 15.15 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 49.36 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 54.43 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 18.76 24.78 10.11 21.40 3 -- 1 -14.05
Annual 12/1/20 20.92 25.80 10.58 23.66 4 -- 3 -16.15
Annual 12/1/19 28.13 29.13 26.90 28.25 4 2 1 -0.77

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 28.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 53.32 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,667.45
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2,207.03 2,317.30 2,156.03 2,189.23 5 -- 1 -4.96
Annual 12/1/20 2,016.80 2,119.20 1,960.00 2,016.57 13 5 4 0.57
Annual 12/1/19 1,824.01 1,857.40 1,797.90 1,824.71 14 5 6 0.28
Quarterly 3/1/19 451.65 461.19 440.80 451.70 11 3 6 -0.21
Quarterly 6/1/19 489.70 502.75 481.01 487.50 11 7 3 1.93
Quarterly 9/1/19 430.14 439.10 414.70 432.27 11 5 4 -0.08
Quarterly 12/1/19 451.40 473.00 434.19 452.67 11 2 5 -0.70

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,667.45 1,666.19 0.08
Annual 12/1/17 1,503.78 1,502.32 0.10
Annual 12/1/16 1,362.83 1,361.66 0.09
Quarterly 12/1/18 412.11 410.91 0.29
Quarterly 9/1/18 393.11 390.39 0.70
Quarterly 6/1/18 436.80 438.34 -0.35
Quarterly 3/1/18 425.40 424.61 0.19

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 10.16 18.79 0.54
FY1 9.45 12.67 0.75
FY2 8.47 9.20 0.92

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 34.90 30.85 1.03
FY2/FY1 7.51 17.09 0.92
FY3/FY2 7.51 17.09 0.92