Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 125.33
Price - 52 Week High: 181.45
Price - 52 Week Low: 105.21
Price Date (Latest): 12/11/18
Median Price Target: 144.54
Diff from Prev Close: 19.21
% Difference: 15.33

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.27

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 9.55
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: 2.85
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 12.15
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 42.73
Yield (%): 2.27

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 13.81 15.29 11.90 13.85 11 4 -- 1.53
Annual 12/1/19 11.75 13.10 10.31 11.80 15 5 -- 3.87
Annual 12/1/18 9.56 9.91 9.25 9.53 14 2 1 0.61
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.05 2.46 1.74 2.01 15 3 1 3.04
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.48 4.28 3.04 3.44 12 4 -- 4.29
Quarterly 6/1/19 3.98 4.40 3.38 3.99 12 4 -- 3.90
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.66 2.20 1.29 1.51 12 4 -- 7.31
Long Term Growth 15.58 15.58 15.58 15.58 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 9.55 8.56 11.52
Annual 12/1/16 13.21 13.19 0.18
Annual 12/1/15 12.94 12.73 1.65
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.94 0.96 -2.04
Quarterly 6/1/18 3.10 2.71 14.31
Quarterly 3/1/18 3.42 3.01 13.66
Quarterly 12/1/17 2.71 1.66 63.13

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 34.11
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 60.02 62.35 56.15 61.57 3 1 2 1.99
Annual 12/1/19 49.02 50.20 46.71 50.15 3 2 1 2.52
Annual 12/1/18 40.10 41.22 37.93 41.15 3 1 2 -0.70
Quarterly 12/1/18 37.93 37.93 37.93 37.93 1 -- 1 -4.38
Quarterly 3/1/19 49.62 49.62 49.62 49.62 1 -- 1 0.86
Quarterly 6/1/19 51.45 51.45 51.45 51.45 1 1 -- 3.41
Quarterly 9/1/19 51.53 51.53 51.53 51.53 1 -- 1 1.01

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 34.11 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 28.47 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 20.83 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 40.41 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 39.88 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 37.14 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 34.11 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 23.91
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 23.09 24.74 21.44 23.09 2 2 -- 1.05
Annual 12/1/19 21.31 23.46 19.05 21.41 3 1 2 -5.09
Annual 12/1/18 23.09 31.03 17.08 21.15 3 1 2 -4.36
Quarterly 12/1/18 3.38 3.80 2.95 3.38 2 1 1 10.68
Quarterly 3/1/19 6.96 8.87 5.06 6.96 2 1 1 -9.87
Quarterly 6/1/19 5.84 5.96 5.72 5.84 2 2 -- 7.56
Quarterly 9/1/19 3.89 4.14 3.64 3.89 2 1 -- 7.49

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 23.91 18.71 27.78
Annual 12/1/16 21.04 22.90 -8.10
Annual 12/1/15 21.54 20.59 4.61
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.43 3.50 -87.71
Quarterly 6/1/18 6.70 5.03 33.29
Quarterly 3/1/18 10.88 6.92 57.10
Quarterly 12/1/17 5.97 3.40 75.38

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 2.92 3.47 2.80 2.81 6 -- 2 -3.50
Annual 12/1/19 2.86 3.16 2.80 2.80 7 -- 2 -2.61
Annual 12/1/18 2.82 2.87 2.80 2.80 7 -- 1 -0.11
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 2.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2.40 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 2.75 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.70 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.70 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.70 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.70 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 262.50
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 352.16 409.15 306.00 349.75 8 1 -- -2.39
Annual 12/1/19 298.81 338.89 285.30 292.14 10 2 -- 0.88
Annual 12/1/18 234.24 241.20 227.95 233.90 10 1 1 -0.13
Quarterly 12/1/18 54.28 60.90 48.27 54.37 8 1 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 80.87 88.10 73.65 81.52 6 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 92.87 97.70 86.90 93.12 6 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 47.07 54.85 40.90 44.49 6 1 -- --

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 262.50 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 370.56 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 371.70 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 26.18 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 74.22 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 80.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 61.50 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 387.31
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 498.99 520.86 472.00 504.49 6 -- 1 -0.99
Annual 12/1/19 433.01 476.40 402.00 435.05 10 3 -- 1.82
Annual 12/1/18 359.56 364.60 350.32 361.71 10 1 1 -0.16
Quarterly 12/1/18 85.79 90.90 79.27 87.90 5 1 -- 1.56
Quarterly 3/1/19 115.04 119.40 110.65 115.05 4 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 126.86 130.30 123.40 126.87 4 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 85.59 91.85 79.40 85.55 4 1 -- --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 387.31 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 476.70 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 472.13 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 61.51 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 104.13 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 108.14 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 90.64 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 11.93
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 13.78 15.00 12.75 13.85 7 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 11.56 12.30 10.31 11.68 10 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/18 9.63 9.91 9.25 9.64 9 1 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.15 2.61 1.80 2.19 9 1 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.30 3.78 3.04 3.25 6 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 3.83 4.13 3.38 3.97 6 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.64 2.13 1.29 1.49 6 1 -- --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 11.93 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 13.21 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 12.94 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.94 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 3.10 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 3.42 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 5.13 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 752.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 1,144.69 1,236.05 1,002.56 1,170.09 4 -- 1 -1.37
Annual 12/1/19 1,112.13 1,165.84 1,026.20 1,128.24 4 -- 1 -0.86
Annual 12/1/18 989.86 1,186.71 796.65 988.05 4 3 -- 0.04
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,186.71 1,186.71 1,186.71 1,186.71 1 1 -- 12.26
Quarterly 3/1/19 1,145.68 1,145.68 1,145.68 1,145.68 1 1 -- 8.00
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,133.57 1,133.57 1,133.57 1,133.57 1 1 -- 6.79
Quarterly 9/1/19 1,155.30 1,155.30 1,155.30 1,155.30 1 1 -- 5.75

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 752.80 1,024.86 -26.55
Annual 12/1/16 474.29 475.29 -0.21
Annual 12/1/15 308.98 339.61 -9.02
Quarterly 9/1/18 887.70 1,046.45 -15.17
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,901.20 1,041.71 82.51
Quarterly 3/1/18 747.74 1,068.67 -30.03
Quarterly 12/1/17 752.80 1,132.21 -33.51

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 156.10
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 221.78 239.60 199.70 223.26 8 2 -- -1.31
Annual 12/1/19 189.11 209.17 176.40 188.00 11 3 -- 1.39
Annual 12/1/18 151.68 157.20 147.49 152.00 11 1 1 0.21
Quarterly 12/1/18 32.96 38.30 28.74 32.85 8 1 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 53.00 60.20 48.46 52.61 6 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 62.33 66.90 55.90 63.33 6 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 26.69 33.99 22.10 23.95 6 1 -- --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 156.10 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 219.59 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 220.37 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 15.15 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 49.36 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 54.43 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 43.70 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Quarterly 12/1/18 75.70 75.70 75.70 75.70 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 28.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 26.22 27.10 25.30 26.23 4 2 2 -0.80
Annual 12/1/19 25.92 27.37 24.60 25.80 3 3 -- 5.71
Annual 12/1/18 24.66 25.10 24.13 24.71 4 1 3 -0.59

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 28.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 53.32 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 68.56 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,503.78
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 2,031.69 2,126.29 1,969.00 2,028.29 9 -- 2 -1.57
Annual 12/1/19 1,827.80 1,898.80 1,784.60 1,828.30 12 -- 3 -0.78
Annual 12/1/18 1,661.81 1,670.00 1,655.74 1,660.55 12 1 1 0.01
Quarterly 12/1/18 406.31 414.60 400.41 405.22 10 -- 1 -0.07
Quarterly 3/1/19 457.26 465.10 445.20 457.95 8 1 -- -0.39
Quarterly 6/1/19 481.94 489.38 473.50 484.59 8 -- 1 -0.41
Quarterly 9/1/19 432.85 443.60 422.10 431.78 8 -- 1 -0.46

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 1,503.78 1,502.32 0.10
Annual 12/1/16 1,362.83 1,361.66 0.09
Annual 12/1/15 1,262.19 1,261.04 0.09
Quarterly 9/1/18 393.11 390.39 0.70
Quarterly 6/1/18 436.80 438.34 -0.35
Quarterly 3/1/18 425.40 424.61 0.19
Quarterly 12/1/17 378.56 377.11 0.38

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 13.11 11.24 1.17
FY1 10.67 2.93 3.64
FY2 9.08 15.74 0.58

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 0.09 -0.44 1.01
FY2/FY1 22.92 12.25 1.10
FY3/FY2 22.92 12.25 1.10