Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 140.89
Price - 52 Week High: 157.50
Price - 52 Week Low: 98.18
Price Date (Latest): 8/16/19
Median Price Target: 164.85
Diff from Prev Close: 23.96
% Difference: 17.00

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.20

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 10.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 2.80
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 15.70
Yield (%): 1.96

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 16.71 19.12 14.41 16.50 8 2 2 2.40
Annual 12/1/20 14.90 18.19 13.22 14.95 15 5 3 0.67
Annual 12/1/19 13.60 13.87 12.90 13.65 13 7 3 0.39
Quarterly 3/1/20 3.91 4.29 3.55 3.88 9 4 2 3.95
Quarterly 6/1/20 5.04 6.00 4.50 4.93 9 1 4 0.06
Quarterly 9/1/19 2.27 2.56 1.98 2.25 15 11 1 11.85
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.48 3.87 3.05 3.45 15 8 4 2.08
Long Term Growth 22.81 30.90 14.72 22.81 2 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 10.00 9.97 0.33
Annual 12/1/17 9.55 8.56 11.52
Annual 12/1/16 13.21 13.19 0.18
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.33 4.61 -6.05
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.52 3.88 -9.34
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.56 2.47 3.49
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.94 0.96 -2.04

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 42.66
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 79.97 82.63 77.90 79.38 3 3 -- 4.75
Annual 12/1/20 65.70 66.54 64.97 65.59 3 3 -- 3.38
Annual 12/1/19 53.26 54.23 52.06 53.48 3 3 -- 1.38
Quarterly 3/1/20 55.46 55.46 55.46 55.46 1 1 -- 1.81
Quarterly 6/1/20 59.63 59.63 59.63 59.63 1 1 -- 6.62
Quarterly 9/1/19 49.98 49.98 49.98 49.98 1 1 -- 3.71
Quarterly 12/1/19 52.06 52.06 52.06 52.06 1 1 -- 3.75

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 42.66 40.13 6.30
Annual 12/1/17 34.11 33.88 0.68
Annual 12/1/16 28.47 30.16 -5.59
Quarterly 6/1/19 49.34 45.76 7.83
Quarterly 3/1/19 45.34 45.79 -0.99
Quarterly 12/1/18 42.66 36.75 16.08
Quarterly 9/1/18 40.41 43.08 -6.19

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 22.33
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 27.75 29.66 25.85 27.75 2 1 1 5.63
Annual 12/1/20 27.34 30.35 25.27 26.40 3 2 1 1.39
Annual 12/1/19 24.51 25.54 23.48 24.51 2 1 1 -0.19
Quarterly 3/1/20 9.07 11.69 6.46 9.07 2 1 1 1.82
Quarterly 6/1/20 8.00 8.37 7.64 8.00 2 1 -- 11.52
Quarterly 9/1/19 4.35 4.71 3.99 4.35 2 2 -- 9.91
Quarterly 12/1/19 5.70 6.28 5.12 5.70 2 2 -- 6.18

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 22.33 37.24 -40.03
Annual 12/1/17 23.91 18.71 27.78
Annual 12/1/16 21.04 22.90 -8.10
Quarterly 6/1/19 7.31 7.35 -0.58
Quarterly 12/1/18 4.16 4.37 -4.72
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.43 3.50 -87.71

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.80 4 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 2.81 2.84 2.80 2.80 6 -- 1 -0.06
Annual 12/1/19 2.81 2.84 2.80 2.80 6 1 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2.80 2.82 -0.71
Annual 12/1/17 2.80 2.85 -1.70
Annual 12/1/16 2.40 3.74 -35.76
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.70 0.70 --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.70 0.70 --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.70 0.70 --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.70 0.70 --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 243.46
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 436.42 533.06 380.80 416.70 7 4 1 1.14
Annual 12/1/20 391.05 444.30 361.00 379.00 11 8 1 3.29
Annual 12/1/19 356.96 371.90 348.00 355.70 11 7 2 1.04
Quarterly 3/1/20 102.81 107.18 96.00 104.30 5 2 2 6.52
Quarterly 6/1/20 126.52 141.51 112.00 126.70 5 2 1 5.08
Quarterly 9/1/19 65.06 70.56 60.00 64.95 8 6 1 12.00
Quarterly 12/1/19 92.43 102.16 80.00 92.95 8 5 2 2.97

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 243.46 241.94 0.63
Annual 12/1/17 262.50 250.43 4.82
Annual 12/1/16 370.56 371.72 -0.31
Quarterly 6/1/19 108.11 113.83 -5.03
Quarterly 3/1/19 91.08 97.35 -6.45
Quarterly 12/1/18 63.09 61.49 2.59
Quarterly 9/1/18 26.18 30.58 -14.37

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 373.68
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 612.47 679.00 538.40 607.09 6 3 1 0.95
Annual 12/1/20 553.81 600.50 500.20 547.00 13 5 5 1.23
Annual 12/1/19 511.06 527.23 502.90 508.12 13 5 4 0.36
Quarterly 3/1/20 142.32 146.40 131.72 145.17 5 2 2 6.43
Quarterly 6/1/20 169.86 178.51 163.68 168.90 5 2 1 3.53
Quarterly 9/1/19 105.27 111.82 98.90 104.25 8 7 -- 5.69
Quarterly 12/1/19 134.28 143.16 125.08 134.05 8 5 2 1.98

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 373.68 371.41 0.61
Annual 12/1/17 387.31 376.02 3.00
Annual 12/1/16 476.70 476.03 0.14
Quarterly 6/1/19 146.60 151.68 -3.35
Quarterly 3/1/19 127.26 133.98 -5.01
Quarterly 12/1/18 99.90 99.18 0.73
Quarterly 9/1/18 61.51 63.97 -3.84

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 10.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 16.63 19.12 14.41 16.50 4 -- 2 -0.78
Annual 12/1/20 14.98 18.19 13.22 14.86 12 3 3 0.21
Annual 12/1/19 13.56 13.87 12.90 13.58 12 5 3 -0.20
Quarterly 3/1/20 3.86 4.29 3.55 3.83 6 1 2 1.77
Quarterly 6/1/20 5.17 6.00 4.50 5.03 6 -- 2 1.80
Quarterly 9/1/19 2.19 2.56 1.88 2.23 11 7 1 9.99
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.42 3.85 3.05 3.44 11 6 2 2.62

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 10.00 10.00 0.01
Annual 12/1/17 11.93 8.25 44.54
Annual 12/1/16 13.21 13.16 0.41
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.33 4.62 -6.35
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.52 3.80 -7.41
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.56 2.47 3.64
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.94 0.90 4.21

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 875.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 937.29 1,570.00 342.30 946.36 6 1 4 -10.20
Annual 12/1/20 1,003.42 1,449.00 317.50 1,120.49 6 1 4 -8.55
Annual 12/1/19 906.83 1,263.44 283.50 963.85 6 1 4 -12.60
Quarterly 3/1/20 1,173.73 1,173.73 1,173.73 1,173.73 1 -- 1 -26.49
Quarterly 6/1/20 1,143.84 1,143.84 1,143.84 1,143.84 1 -- 1 -26.49
Quarterly 9/1/19 1,222.18 1,222.18 1,222.18 1,222.18 1 -- 1 -19.99
Quarterly 12/1/19 1,263.44 1,263.44 1,263.44 1,263.44 1 -- 1 -23.96

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 875.70 732.34 19.58
Annual 12/1/17 752.80 1,024.86 -26.55
Annual 12/1/16 474.29 475.29 -0.21
Quarterly 6/1/19 828.60 1,376.55 -39.81
Quarterly 3/1/19 827.50 1,272.47 -34.97
Quarterly 12/1/18 875.70 780.36 12.22
Quarterly 9/1/18 887.70 1,046.45 -15.17

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 159.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 272.87 311.00 242.40 270.77 6 5 -- 3.35
Annual 12/1/20 243.35 287.42 220.60 239.90 11 7 3 2.46
Annual 12/1/19 218.84 223.86 215.00 218.70 11 5 4 -0.03
Quarterly 3/1/20 64.25 67.72 60.00 65.30 5 2 2 5.85
Quarterly 6/1/20 82.06 94.83 72.00 82.20 5 1 2 5.70
Quarterly 9/1/19 35.87 40.00 32.00 36.09 8 6 1 10.99
Quarterly 12/1/19 56.03 60.00 49.00 56.20 8 5 2 3.67

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 159.70 158.36 0.85
Annual 12/1/17 156.10 138.71 12.53
Annual 12/1/16 219.59 218.14 0.67
Quarterly 6/1/19 69.55 73.71 -5.65
Quarterly 3/1/19 56.33 63.19 -10.87
Quarterly 12/1/18 40.94 38.63 5.98
Quarterly 9/1/18 15.15 14.19 6.77

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 25.79
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 24.07 26.00 21.00 24.64 4 -- -- 2.62
Annual 12/1/20 25.65 27.41 24.30 25.45 4 -- -- 4.20
Annual 12/1/19 28.13 28.54 27.69 28.15 4 -- -- -2.05
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 25.79 26.06 -0.27
Annual 12/1/17 28.00 28.67 -0.67
Annual 12/1/16 53.32 52.79 0.53

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,667.45
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2,232.69 2,327.30 2,186.00 2,212.00 7 2 4 -0.52
Annual 12/1/20 2,017.10 2,128.30 1,952.60 2,018.90 14 3 9 -0.59
Annual 12/1/19 1,828.50 1,841.50 1,809.30 1,830.22 14 1 11 -0.86
Quarterly 3/1/20 499.66 508.31 482.87 500.99 8 -- 4 -0.65
Quarterly 6/1/20 542.71 559.63 524.50 540.67 8 -- 4 -2.38
Quarterly 9/1/19 430.07 437.60 419.18 430.32 12 5 4 -0.13
Quarterly 12/1/19 454.93 469.00 440.96 455.47 12 5 4 -0.33

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,667.45 1,666.19 0.08
Annual 12/1/17 1,503.78 1,502.32 0.10
Annual 12/1/16 1,362.83 1,361.66 0.09
Quarterly 6/1/19 491.80 505.24 -2.66
Quarterly 3/1/19 451.62 452.54 -0.20
Quarterly 12/1/18 412.11 410.91 0.29
Quarterly 9/1/18 393.11 390.39 0.70

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 14.09 10.36 9.45

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 36.43 9.61 12.14