Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 174.80
Price - 52 Week High: 183.26
Price - 52 Week Low: 119.94
Price Date (Latest): 1/24/20
Median Price Target: 198.78
Diff from Prev Close: 23.98
% Difference: 13.72

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.27

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 10.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 2.80
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 15.70
Yield (%): 1.62

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 17.16 18.16 16.39 17.10 8 2 2 -0.72
Annual 12/1/20 16.98 17.90 16.05 16.96 11 3 4 1.04
Annual 12/1/19 14.50 14.73 14.37 14.50 9 1 4 -0.27
Quarterly 3/1/20 4.50 5.06 3.65 4.54 10 3 2 2.18
Quarterly 6/1/20 5.32 5.86 4.69 5.39 10 4 2 1.18
Quarterly 9/1/20 2.94 3.19 2.70 2.98 10 2 4 -2.21
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.87 4.19 3.62 3.82 11 1 5 -0.68
Long Term Growth 22.59 28.50 18.17 21.10 3 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 10.00 9.97 0.33
Annual 12/1/17 9.55 8.56 11.52
Annual 12/1/16 13.21 13.19 0.18
Quarterly 9/1/19 2.70 2.18 23.92
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.33 4.61 -6.05
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.52 3.88 -9.34
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.56 2.47 3.49

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 42.66
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 81.81 81.81 81.81 81.81 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 68.08 68.08 68.08 68.08 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 54.41 54.41 54.41 54.41 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 42.66 40.13 6.30
Annual 12/1/17 34.11 33.88 0.68
Annual 12/1/16 28.47 30.16 -5.59

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 22.33
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 27.63 27.63 27.63 27.63 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 31.79 35.90 27.67 31.79 2 -- 1 -0.53
Annual 12/1/19 24.81 24.81 24.81 24.81 1 -- 1 -1.12
Quarterly 3/1/20 13.26 13.26 13.26 13.26 1 1 -- 4.99
Quarterly 6/1/20 7.88 7.88 7.88 7.88 1 -- 1 -15.18
Quarterly 9/1/20 7.42 7.42 7.42 7.42 1 1 -- 3.78
Quarterly 12/1/19 4.77 4.77 4.77 4.77 1 -- 1 -5.36

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 22.33 37.24 -40.03
Annual 12/1/17 23.91 18.71 27.78
Annual 12/1/16 21.04 22.90 -8.10
Quarterly 9/1/19 2.74 4.37 -37.34
Quarterly 6/1/19 7.31 7.35 -0.58
Quarterly 12/1/18 4.16 4.37 -4.72

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3.11 3.74 2.80 2.80 3 -- 1 11.19
Annual 12/1/20 2.81 2.85 2.80 2.80 4 -- 1 -0.18
Annual 12/1/19 2.81 2.84 2.80 2.80 4 -- 1 -0.09
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2.80 2.82 -0.71
Annual 12/1/17 2.80 2.85 -1.70
Annual 12/1/16 2.40 3.74 -35.76
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.70 0.70 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.70 0.70 --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.70 0.70 --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.70 0.70 --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 243.46
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 434.99 479.94 398.00 432.70 5 1 1 -0.59
Annual 12/1/20 401.98 422.76 361.00 405.55 8 1 2 -0.38
Annual 12/1/19 365.26 369.00 360.00 364.18 7 -- 2 -0.26
Quarterly 3/1/20 107.20 116.80 96.00 109.00 5 2 -- 0.22
Quarterly 6/1/20 121.43 126.10 112.00 124.30 5 1 1 0.35
Quarterly 9/1/20 75.49 79.75 69.00 76.70 5 -- 2 -0.72
Quarterly 12/1/19 95.23 97.70 92.50 96.10 5 -- 1 -0.68

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 243.46 241.94 0.63
Annual 12/1/17 262.50 250.43 4.82
Annual 12/1/16 370.56 371.72 -0.31
Quarterly 9/1/19 72.12 65.57 9.98
Quarterly 6/1/19 108.11 113.83 -5.03
Quarterly 3/1/19 91.08 97.35 -6.45
Quarterly 12/1/18 63.09 61.49 2.59

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 373.68
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 625.62 676.00 539.00 636.00 7 1 2 -0.34
Annual 12/1/20 587.02 621.00 524.00 588.25 10 2 2 0.47
Annual 12/1/19 524.42 533.82 518.60 524.00 10 1 3 0.03
Quarterly 3/1/20 150.99 159.60 143.41 152.50 5 1 -- 0.10
Quarterly 6/1/20 167.99 172.20 161.90 169.30 5 -- 1 -0.07
Quarterly 9/1/20 122.98 126.19 120.42 123.40 5 -- 1 -0.41
Quarterly 12/1/19 139.16 148.10 133.20 139.14 6 -- 1 -0.39

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 373.68 371.41 0.61
Annual 12/1/17 387.31 376.02 3.00
Annual 12/1/16 476.70 476.03 0.14
Quarterly 9/1/19 111.55 105.88 5.36
Quarterly 6/1/19 146.60 151.68 -3.35
Quarterly 3/1/19 127.26 133.98 -5.01
Quarterly 12/1/18 99.90 99.18 0.73

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 10.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 17.00 18.16 15.10 17.13 6 2 1 1.12
Annual 12/1/20 17.11 17.90 16.50 17.00 9 4 1 2.96
Annual 12/1/19 14.52 14.73 14.37 14.52 9 -- 3 -0.14
Quarterly 3/1/20 4.58 5.06 4.16 4.54 8 3 -- 3.49
Quarterly 6/1/20 5.37 5.86 4.56 5.45 8 3 1 3.47
Quarterly 9/1/20 2.93 3.19 2.70 2.96 8 2 2 -0.18
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.89 4.19 3.55 3.82 9 -- 2 0.48

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 10.00 10.00 0.01
Annual 12/1/17 11.93 8.25 44.54
Annual 12/1/16 13.21 13.16 0.41
Quarterly 9/1/19 2.70 2.13 26.51
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.33 4.62 -6.35
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.52 3.80 -7.41
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.56 2.47 3.64

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 875.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 854.78 1,419.00 150.10 995.25 3 1 1 53.88
Annual 12/1/20 908.11 1,377.00 153.30 1,194.04 3 1 1 36.06
Annual 12/1/19 754.52 1,045.00 247.20 971.36 3 1 1 24.09

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 875.70 732.34 19.58
Annual 12/1/17 752.80 1,024.86 -26.55
Annual 12/1/16 474.29 475.29 -0.21

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 159.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 272.90 295.00 253.00 264.70 5 1 1 -0.86
Annual 12/1/20 265.50 287.07 225.00 269.15 8 2 2 0.52
Annual 12/1/19 231.82 236.00 230.10 230.90 6 -- 3 -0.53
Quarterly 3/1/20 71.52 81.20 60.00 72.20 5 2 -- 0.56
Quarterly 6/1/20 82.68 87.91 72.00 85.80 5 1 1 0.85
Quarterly 9/1/20 47.14 51.11 40.00 48.10 5 1 1 -0.10
Quarterly 12/1/19 59.94 61.22 57.00 61.00 5 -- 1 -0.97

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 159.70 158.36 0.85
Annual 12/1/17 156.10 138.71 12.53
Annual 12/1/16 219.59 218.14 0.67
Quarterly 9/1/19 43.93 36.28 21.09
Quarterly 6/1/19 69.55 73.71 -5.65
Quarterly 3/1/19 56.33 63.19 -10.87
Quarterly 12/1/18 40.94 38.63 5.98

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 25.79
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 23.10 24.20 22.00 23.10 2 -- -- 0.22
Annual 12/1/20 26.95 27.00 26.90 26.95 2 -- -- 1.51
Annual 12/1/19 29.70 30.10 29.41 29.60 3 -- -- -0.91

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 25.79 26.06 -0.27
Annual 12/1/17 28.00 28.67 -0.67
Annual 12/1/16 53.32 52.79 0.53

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,667.45
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2,258.21 2,340.90 2,195.00 2,251.70 7 3 -- 0.37
Annual 12/1/20 2,032.18 2,078.70 1,992.00 2,025.27 10 5 1 0.51
Annual 12/1/19 1,839.71 1,848.00 1,828.70 1,840.45 10 -- 3 -0.02
Quarterly 3/1/20 515.06 533.00 497.10 516.51 7 3 1 2.00
Quarterly 6/1/20 536.67 579.12 519.58 531.80 7 2 2 0.17
Quarterly 9/1/20 469.16 477.54 455.13 469.47 7 1 3 -0.87
Quarterly 12/1/19 458.37 462.50 448.80 459.04 8 -- 2 -0.08

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,667.45 1,666.19 0.08
Annual 12/1/17 1,503.78 1,502.32 0.10
Annual 12/1/16 1,362.83 1,361.66 0.09
Quarterly 9/1/19 436.51 430.02 1.51
Quarterly 6/1/19 491.80 505.24 -2.66
Quarterly 3/1/19 451.62 452.54 -0.20
Quarterly 12/1/18 412.11 410.91 0.29

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 17.48 12.06 10.29

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 45.45 17.16 1.02