Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 134.51
Price - 52 Week High: 165.00
Price - 52 Week Low: 98.18
Price Date (Latest): 4/16/19
Median Price Target: 154.21
Diff from Prev Close: 19.70
% Difference: 14.65

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.13

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 10.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 2.82
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 7.56
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 40.55
Yield (%): 2.10

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 16.12 18.50 13.11 15.70 7 1 1 -2.81
Annual 12/1/20 14.28 15.98 12.58 14.22 15 1 6 -1.33
Annual 12/1/19 13.23 14.44 12.35 13.20 16 1 7 -1.70
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.87 4.26 3.36 3.82 16 2 7 -1.04
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.52 4.99 3.95 4.53 16 2 8 -1.56
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.81 2.36 1.20 1.84 16 6 4 -0.79
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.03 3.89 2.41 2.98 16 3 6 -3.23
Long Term Growth 20.51 26.30 14.72 20.51 2 -- 1 --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 10.00 9.97 0.33
Annual 12/1/17 9.55 8.56 11.52
Annual 12/1/16 13.21 13.19 0.18
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.56 2.47 3.49
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.94 0.96 -2.04
Quarterly 6/1/18 3.10 2.71 14.31
Quarterly 3/1/18 3.42 3.01 13.66

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 42.66
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 75.54 77.58 72.44 76.59 3 1 1 -36.18
Annual 12/1/20 62.56 64.26 60.28 63.15 3 1 1 -44.09
Annual 12/1/19 51.46 53.33 48.98 52.08 3 -- 2 -54.53
Quarterly 3/1/19 45.79 45.79 45.79 45.79 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 45.25 45.25 45.25 45.25 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 9/1/19 47.58 47.58 47.58 47.58 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/19 48.98 48.98 48.98 48.98 1 -- 1 --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 42.66 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 34.11 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 28.47 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 42.66 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 40.41 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 39.88 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 37.14 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 22.33
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 26.03 26.66 25.40 26.03 2 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/20 25.54 27.86 24.22 24.55 3 -- 2 -2.54
Annual 12/1/19 23.88 24.58 22.77 24.29 3 -- 2 -1.65
Quarterly 3/1/19 8.17 9.94 6.39 8.17 2 1 1 -2.88
Quarterly 6/1/19 7.04 7.24 6.84 7.04 2 -- 2 -2.06
Quarterly 9/1/19 3.90 4.29 3.51 3.90 2 1 1 -2.57
Quarterly 12/1/19 4.57 5.25 3.89 4.57 2 -- 2 -2.52

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 22.33 37.24 -40.03
Annual 12/1/17 23.91 18.71 27.78
Annual 12/1/16 21.04 22.90 -8.10
Quarterly 12/1/18 4.16 4.37 -4.72
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.43 3.50 -87.71
Quarterly 6/1/18 6.70 5.03 33.29
Quarterly 3/1/18 10.88 6.92 57.10

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2.81 2.85 2.80 2.80 5 -- -- 0.36
Annual 12/1/20 2.87 3.23 2.80 2.80 7 -- 1 0.05
Annual 12/1/19 2.83 2.94 2.80 2.80 7 -- 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 2.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2.40 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.70 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.70 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.70 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.70 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 243.46
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 405.06 430.16 379.40 405.33 4 1 2 0.51
Annual 12/1/20 371.69 403.10 317.00 377.40 9 1 4 -1.29
Annual 12/1/19 342.45 366.00 313.80 341.95 10 -- 6 -1.83
Quarterly 3/1/19 97.40 102.40 92.90 96.35 8 1 2 -0.06
Quarterly 6/1/19 111.54 116.80 106.00 112.63 8 -- 4 -1.41
Quarterly 9/1/19 53.20 66.10 39.20 52.58 8 2 2 -1.49
Quarterly 12/1/19 81.33 90.00 70.30 80.80 8 1 3 -2.75

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 243.46 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 262.50 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 370.56 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 63.09 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 26.18 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 74.22 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 80.00 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 373.68
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 603.56 673.00 536.30 600.48 6 2 1 0.23
Annual 12/1/20 539.68 579.50 429.80 549.90 13 2 4 0.11
Annual 12/1/19 501.20 521.10 439.50 504.76 14 1 6 -0.15
Quarterly 3/1/19 133.98 138.70 128.80 134.40 7 2 2 -0.69
Quarterly 6/1/19 146.46 155.30 124.00 151.77 7 -- 4 -1.23
Quarterly 9/1/19 93.39 105.90 76.20 92.80 7 2 2 -0.97
Quarterly 12/1/19 122.50 136.40 110.30 121.20 7 1 3 -2.08

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 373.68 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 387.31 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 476.70 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 99.90 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 61.51 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 104.13 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 108.14 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 10.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 16.37 18.50 13.11 17.50 3 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 14.18 15.98 12.58 14.22 11 -- 3 -2.60
Annual 12/1/19 13.14 14.44 11.85 13.13 12 -- 4 -1.23
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.81 4.26 3.22 3.80 11 -- 4 -1.17
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.47 4.99 4.00 4.41 11 1 4 -0.34
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.76 2.36 1.20 1.80 11 3 2 -0.53
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.00 3.46 2.41 3.00 11 2 3 -3.30

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 10.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 11.93 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 13.21 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.56 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.94 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 3.10 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 3.42 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 875.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,061.20 1,463.88 539.90 1,120.52 4 2 1 31.85
Annual 12/1/20 1,014.36 1,623.38 490.00 1,179.90 5 2 1 26.64
Annual 12/1/19 968.86 1,691.55 455.00 990.20 5 2 1 29.69
Quarterly 3/1/19 1,272.47 1,272.47 1,272.47 1,272.47 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,400.29 1,400.29 1,400.29 1,400.29 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 1,544.39 1,544.39 1,544.39 1,544.39 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 1,073.28 1,691.55 455.00 1,073.28 2 1 -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 875.70 732.34 19.58
Annual 12/1/17 752.80 1,024.86 -26.55
Annual 12/1/16 474.29 475.29 -0.21
Quarterly 12/1/18 875.70 780.36 12.22
Quarterly 9/1/18 887.70 1,046.45 -15.17
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,901.20 1,041.71 82.51
Quarterly 3/1/18 747.74 1,068.67 -30.03

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 159.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 261.68 298.00 237.43 250.85 5 1 2 0.34
Annual 12/1/20 228.97 255.44 207.90 229.06 10 1 4 -1.33
Annual 12/1/19 211.39 229.90 197.50 208.25 11 -- 6 -2.06
Quarterly 3/1/19 63.23 68.00 58.49 63.48 8 1 2 -0.07
Quarterly 6/1/19 71.73 77.40 65.00 71.97 8 -- 4 -1.67
Quarterly 9/1/19 27.16 37.60 19.20 27.16 8 2 2 -2.25
Quarterly 12/1/19 48.22 55.00 43.20 47.50 8 1 3 -3.51

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 159.70 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 156.10 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 219.59 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 40.94 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 15.15 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 49.36 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 54.43 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 25.79
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 23.62 25.30 21.40 23.89 4 2 -- 13.66
Annual 12/1/20 24.94 25.80 22.60 25.68 4 2 -- 15.91
Annual 12/1/19 27.98 29.60 26.89 27.72 4 -- 2 -2.36

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 25.79 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 28.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 53.32 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,667.45
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2,222.86 2,317.30 2,175.00 2,203.79 6 3 -- 0.16
Annual 12/1/20 2,020.67 2,119.20 1,974.40 2,012.38 13 5 3 0.13
Annual 12/1/19 1,828.23 1,857.40 1,797.90 1,828.73 14 5 3 0.13
Quarterly 3/1/19 452.09 458.95 440.80 454.59 12 3 3 -0.28
Quarterly 6/1/19 493.00 502.90 481.01 494.26 12 4 2 0.30
Quarterly 9/1/19 431.71 443.44 414.70 431.94 12 4 1 0.32
Quarterly 12/1/19 451.15 473.00 438.05 451.00 12 2 2 0.11

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,667.45 1,666.19 0.08
Annual 12/1/17 1,503.78 1,502.32 0.10
Annual 12/1/16 1,362.83 1,361.66 0.09
Quarterly 12/1/18 412.11 410.91 0.29
Quarterly 9/1/18 393.11 390.39 0.70
Quarterly 6/1/18 436.80 438.34 -0.35
Quarterly 3/1/18 425.40 424.61 0.19

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 10.17 9.75 1.04
FY1 9.42 11.82 0.80
FY2 8.34 8.69 0.96

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 32.28 27.40 1.04
FY2/FY1 7.96 6.90 1.01
FY3/FY2 7.96 6.90 1.01