Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 165.53
Price - 52 Week High: 183.26
Price - 52 Week Low: 120.91
Price Date (Latest): 2/19/20
Median Price Target: 202.00
Diff from Prev Close: 36.47
% Difference: 22.03

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.27

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 14.26
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: 2.80
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 24.05
Yield (%): 1.69

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 19.31 23.53 16.32 19.00 5 1 1 -0.41
Annual 12/1/21 17.91 20.84 16.22 17.50 9 3 3 4.40
Annual 12/1/20 17.47 19.50 16.50 17.01 11 7 1 3.26
Quarterly 3/1/20 4.48 4.93 3.85 4.43 11 5 4 -0.11
Quarterly 6/1/20 5.56 5.88 4.97 5.75 11 9 -- 5.49
Quarterly 9/1/20 3.18 3.79 2.72 3.13 11 8 -- 7.69
Quarterly 12/1/20 4.24 5.04 3.83 4.25 11 3 4 1.11
Long Term Growth 20.02 21.10 18.17 20.80 3 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 14.26 14.50 -1.63
Annual 12/1/18 10.00 9.97 0.33
Annual 12/1/17 9.55 8.56 11.52
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.72 3.87 -3.94
Quarterly 9/1/19 2.70 2.18 23.92
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.33 4.61 -6.05
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.52 3.88 -9.34

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 54.25
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 96.19 96.19 96.19 96.19 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 82.00 82.00 82.00 82.00 1 1 -- 0.23
Annual 12/1/20 68.28 68.28 68.28 68.28 1 1 -- 0.29

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 54.25 54.41 -0.30
Annual 12/1/18 42.66 40.13 6.30
Annual 12/1/17 34.11 33.88 0.68

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 31.16 31.16 31.16 31.16 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 34.92 40.09 29.75 34.92 2 1 -- 26.38
Annual 12/1/20 32.31 35.67 28.94 32.31 2 1 1 1.36
Quarterly 3/1/20 13.30 13.30 13.30 13.30 1 -- 1 -2.42
Quarterly 6/1/20 8.43 8.43 8.43 8.43 1 1 -- 16.60
Quarterly 9/1/20 7.97 7.97 7.97 7.97 1 1 -- 0.38
Quarterly 12/1/20 5.97 5.97 5.97 5.97 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 22.33 37.24 -40.03
Annual 12/1/17 23.91 18.71 27.78
Quarterly 9/1/19 2.74 4.37 -37.34
Quarterly 6/1/19 7.31 7.35 -0.58

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.80 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 3.04 3.74 2.80 2.80 4 -- -- -2.52
Annual 12/1/20 2.81 2.85 2.80 2.80 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 2.80 2.81 -0.36
Annual 12/1/18 2.80 2.82 -0.71
Annual 12/1/17 2.80 2.85 -1.70
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.70 0.70 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.70 0.70 --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.70 0.70 --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 363.95
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 487.03 551.80 418.00 491.30 3 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 443.90 484.56 403.00 434.53 5 3 2 1.66
Annual 12/1/20 418.40 460.20 395.00 412.11 8 5 2 4.08
Quarterly 3/1/20 109.17 116.90 101.00 108.00 6 3 1 1.31
Quarterly 6/1/20 129.96 136.10 121.00 132.17 6 4 1 8.08
Quarterly 9/1/20 82.79 91.80 74.40 83.76 6 4 1 8.74
Quarterly 12/1/20 101.48 117.60 92.00 99.10 6 3 -- 5.93

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 363.95 365.26 -0.36
Annual 12/1/18 243.46 241.94 0.63
Annual 12/1/17 262.50 250.43 4.82
Quarterly 12/1/19 92.65 95.23 -2.70
Quarterly 9/1/19 72.12 65.57 9.98
Quarterly 6/1/19 108.11 113.83 -5.03
Quarterly 3/1/19 91.08 97.35 -6.45

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 685.67 780.30 625.20 668.59 4 -- -- 7.14
Annual 12/1/21 642.17 679.52 595.90 646.35 8 3 1 2.64
Annual 12/1/20 603.56 646.00 581.75 604.85 10 6 1 2.81
Quarterly 3/1/20 151.45 161.30 143.41 150.13 6 1 2 -0.07
Quarterly 6/1/20 173.01 182.80 164.70 172.19 6 3 -- 3.72
Quarterly 9/1/20 129.28 139.50 120.42 130.98 6 3 -- 4.58
Quarterly 12/1/20 152.04 165.30 140.30 153.93 6 1 -- 1.40

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 373.68 371.41 0.61
Annual 12/1/17 387.31 376.02 3.00
Quarterly 9/1/19 111.55 105.88 5.36
Quarterly 6/1/19 146.60 151.68 -3.35
Quarterly 3/1/19 127.26 133.98 -5.01

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 14.26
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 18.98 23.53 16.40 18.00 4 -- -- 7.25
Annual 12/1/21 17.95 20.84 16.39 17.48 8 3 1 5.57
Annual 12/1/20 17.29 18.37 16.50 17.00 10 4 1 1.52
Quarterly 3/1/20 4.52 4.93 4.16 4.44 10 3 3 -1.05
Quarterly 6/1/20 5.47 5.88 4.97 5.51 10 6 -- 3.08
Quarterly 9/1/20 3.07 3.37 2.72 3.01 10 4 1 4.20
Quarterly 12/1/20 4.22 4.72 3.85 4.13 10 4 1 3.31

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 14.26 14.52 -1.78
Annual 12/1/18 10.00 10.00 0.01
Annual 12/1/17 11.93 8.25 44.54
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.72 3.89 -4.44
Quarterly 9/1/19 2.70 2.13 26.51
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.33 4.62 -6.35
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.52 3.80 -7.41

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 964.10
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 431.81 820.31 43.30 431.81 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 836.61 1,388.00 102.00 1,019.84 3 1 2 -2.13
Annual 12/1/20 897.93 1,325.00 138.20 1,230.58 3 1 2 -1.12

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 964.10 754.52 27.78
Annual 12/1/18 875.70 732.34 19.58
Annual 12/1/17 752.80 1,024.86 -26.55

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 232.12
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 322.68 368.40 272.00 327.65 3 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 293.66 333.46 264.00 287.85 6 3 2 7.61
Annual 12/1/20 281.42 312.00 264.00 276.93 8 5 3 5.99
Quarterly 3/1/20 72.99 78.20 69.00 71.33 6 2 2 1.46
Quarterly 6/1/20 89.29 94.00 81.00 91.26 6 4 1 9.19
Quarterly 9/1/20 52.85 60.70 48.00 53.25 6 4 1 10.97
Quarterly 12/1/20 68.02 80.60 62.00 65.95 6 3 -- 9.14

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 232.12 231.82 0.13
Annual 12/1/18 159.70 158.36 0.85
Annual 12/1/17 156.10 138.71 12.53
Quarterly 12/1/19 60.52 59.94 0.96
Quarterly 9/1/19 43.93 36.28 21.09
Quarterly 6/1/19 69.55 73.71 -5.65
Quarterly 3/1/19 56.33 63.19 -10.87

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 19.10 19.10 19.10 19.10 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 22.95 23.90 22.00 22.95 2 -- -- -0.65
Annual 12/1/20 27.77 28.52 26.90 27.90 3 -- -- 3.06

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 25.79 26.06 -0.27
Annual 12/1/17 28.00 28.67 -0.67

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,840.97
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 2,485.57 2,581.50 2,371.00 2,494.89 4 -- -- 4.83
Annual 12/1/21 2,253.23 2,326.00 2,190.94 2,251.61 8 3 3 -0.22
Annual 12/1/20 2,041.31 2,072.00 2,024.20 2,041.81 10 6 4 0.28
Quarterly 3/1/20 515.42 531.00 498.77 517.00 9 3 5 -0.19
Quarterly 6/1/20 544.39 579.12 530.10 540.91 9 6 2 1.34
Quarterly 9/1/20 483.42 497.00 455.13 487.80 9 7 1 2.60
Quarterly 12/1/20 497.68 509.10 490.60 497.00 9 3 2 -0.14

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 1,840.97 1,839.71 0.07
Annual 12/1/18 1,667.45 1,666.19 0.08
Annual 12/1/17 1,503.78 1,502.32 0.10
Quarterly 12/1/19 461.07 458.37 0.59
Quarterly 9/1/19 436.51 430.02 1.51
Quarterly 6/1/19 491.80 505.24 -2.66
Quarterly 3/1/19 451.62 452.54 -0.20

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 11.61 9.48 9.24

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 20.49 2.54 7.81