Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 119.11
Price - 52 Week High: 181.45
Price - 52 Week Low: 112.48
Price Date (Latest): 10/18/18
Median Price Target: 147.69
Diff from Prev Close: 28.58
% Difference: 24.00

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.29

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 9.55
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: 2.85
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 20.73
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 32.03
Yield (%): 2.39

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 14.04 15.00 12.75 14.07 8 1 3 -2.99
Annual 12/1/19 11.63 13.08 10.20 11.69 14 1 8 -4.64
Annual 12/1/18 9.67 10.15 9.23 9.63 12 2 7 -0.60
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.96 1.26 0.70 0.96 14 5 4 -0.89
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.13 2.38 1.58 2.20 14 2 6 -4.35
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.40 3.71 2.99 3.46 10 1 5 -3.59
Quarterly 6/1/19 3.83 4.29 3.50 3.85 10 2 4 -3.04
Long Term Growth 15.58 15.58 15.58 15.58 1 1 -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 9.55 8.56 11.52
Annual 12/1/16 13.21 13.19 0.18
Annual 12/1/15 12.94 12.73 1.65
Quarterly 6/1/18 3.10 2.71 14.31
Quarterly 3/1/18 3.42 3.01 13.66
Quarterly 12/1/17 2.71 1.66 63.13
Quarterly 9/1/17 1.39 1.32 4.92

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 34.11
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 59.05 63.00 57.00 57.14 3 -- 3 -1.85
Annual 12/1/19 48.00 50.84 46.41 46.75 3 -- 3 -2.09
Annual 12/1/18 40.59 41.86 39.59 40.33 3 -- 3 -0.33
Quarterly 9/1/18 43.08 43.08 43.08 43.08 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/18 39.59 39.59 39.59 39.59 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/19 49.20 49.20 49.20 49.20 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 49.70 49.70 49.70 49.70 1 -- 1 --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 34.11 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 28.47 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 20.83 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 39.88 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 37.14 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 34.11 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 29.47 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 23.91
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 22.84 24.36 21.32 22.84 2 1 1 -0.02
Annual 12/1/19 21.32 23.66 18.77 21.54 3 -- 3 -5.00
Annual 12/1/18 23.95 31.23 16.76 23.86 3 -- 3 -0.60
Quarterly 9/1/18 3.50 4.15 2.85 3.50 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.84 3.74 1.93 2.84 2 -- 2 -6.35
Quarterly 3/1/19 7.44 10.07 4.81 7.44 2 -- 2 -2.82
Quarterly 6/1/19 5.18 5.46 4.90 5.18 2 1 1 -4.25

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 23.91 18.71 27.78
Annual 12/1/16 21.04 22.90 -8.10
Annual 12/1/15 21.54 20.59 4.61
Quarterly 6/1/18 6.70 5.03 33.29
Quarterly 3/1/18 10.88 6.92 57.10
Quarterly 12/1/17 5.97 3.40 75.38
Quarterly 9/1/17 2.10 3.34 -37.04

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 3.04 3.56 2.80 2.84 5 -- -- -17.03
Annual 12/1/19 2.95 3.23 2.80 2.82 6 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/18 2.83 2.94 2.80 2.81 6 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 2.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2.40 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 2.75 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.70 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.70 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.70 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 0.70 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 262.50
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 360.66 413.17 306.00 365.70 7 1 3 -2.86
Annual 12/1/19 294.99 344.00 280.77 288.10 10 2 5 -4.68
Annual 12/1/18 241.00 250.00 231.94 241.10 9 1 5 -1.26
Quarterly 9/1/18 30.58 37.30 26.20 30.70 8 2 -- 0.70
Quarterly 12/1/18 56.72 59.00 48.32 57.70 8 1 4 -4.98
Quarterly 3/1/19 79.72 86.40 72.00 80.52 6 1 2 -3.87
Quarterly 6/1/19 89.80 97.40 86.90 88.16 6 2 1 -3.37

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 262.50 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 370.56 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 371.70 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 74.22 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 80.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 61.50 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 42.92 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 387.31
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 488.14 515.71 457.27 489.80 4 1 2 -2.26
Annual 12/1/19 434.11 470.45 397.00 440.40 7 -- 3 -2.26
Annual 12/1/18 364.83 371.00 361.67 362.49 7 -- 2 -0.50
Quarterly 9/1/18 64.96 67.50 62.90 64.71 4 -- 1 0.23
Quarterly 12/1/18 87.73 91.20 86.11 86.81 4 -- 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/19 113.89 126.01 104.55 111.10 3 -- 1 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 127.97 134.93 117.87 131.10 3 1 -- --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 387.31 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 476.70 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 472.13 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 122.40 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 129.15 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 90.64 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 75.34 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 11.93
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 14.11 15.00 12.75 14.25 5 -- 1 -0.39
Annual 12/1/19 11.95 13.08 10.85 11.95 10 1 3 -4.70
Annual 12/1/18 9.73 10.15 9.23 9.71 10 2 2 -0.58
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.90 1.20 0.70 0.93 10 3 -- 2.30
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.31 2.89 1.82 2.21 9 2 3 -4.91
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.45 3.76 3.05 3.46 6 1 1 -2.02
Quarterly 6/1/19 3.78 4.29 3.32 3.81 6 1 1 -3.70

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 11.93 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 13.21 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 12.94 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 3.10 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 3.42 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 5.13 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 1.39 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 752.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 1,124.24 1,257.26 975.36 1,140.10 3 2 1 15.21
Annual 12/1/19 927.48 1,103.30 461.00 1,072.81 4 3 -- 7.42
Annual 12/1/18 806.28 1,041.17 405.00 889.48 4 3 -- 0.34
Quarterly 9/1/18 1,046.45 1,046.45 1,046.45 1,046.45 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,041.17 1,041.17 1,041.17 1,041.17 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 1,053.99 1,053.99 1,053.99 1,053.99 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,056.64 1,056.64 1,056.64 1,056.64 1 1 -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 752.80 1,024.86 -26.55
Annual 12/1/16 474.29 475.29 -0.21
Annual 12/1/15 308.98 339.61 -9.02
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,901.20 1,041.71 82.51
Quarterly 3/1/18 747.74 1,068.67 -30.03
Quarterly 12/1/17 752.80 1,132.21 -33.51
Quarterly 9/1/17 586.02 974.45 -39.86

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 156.10
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 227.11 259.00 199.50 227.30 7 1 3 -3.31
Annual 12/1/19 187.67 221.00 169.77 188.00 11 2 7 -5.41
Annual 12/1/18 152.68 159.30 147.08 151.85 10 2 5 -1.09
Quarterly 9/1/18 14.19 19.00 11.20 14.40 8 3 -- 1.67
Quarterly 12/1/18 34.66 37.00 28.98 35.35 8 1 3 -5.10
Quarterly 3/1/19 52.83 56.90 47.72 53.97 6 1 2 -3.78
Quarterly 6/1/19 60.65 67.40 55.80 60.67 6 2 1 -3.13

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 156.10 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 219.59 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 220.37 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 49.36 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 54.43 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 43.70 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 22.29 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Quarterly 9/1/18 42.80 42.80 42.80 42.80 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/18 75.70 75.70 75.70 75.70 1 1 -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 28.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 26.35 28.11 25.00 26.14 4 2 2 -1.67
Annual 12/1/19 24.31 25.40 23.00 24.53 3 -- 3 -11.49
Annual 12/1/18 25.13 26.20 24.16 25.08 4 -- 4 -2.34

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 28.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 53.32 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 68.56 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,503.78
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 2,058.03 2,155.00 2,000.54 2,012.00 7 4 -- 0.96
Annual 12/1/19 1,853.94 1,917.00 1,808.40 1,853.60 12 5 2 0.48
Annual 12/1/18 1,664.02 1,686.00 1,646.30 1,663.72 11 6 -- 0.14
Quarterly 9/1/18 390.59 398.30 382.20 391.00 9 2 -- 0.24
Quarterly 12/1/18 409.91 425.50 397.60 408.00 9 4 -- 0.15
Quarterly 3/1/19 462.85 480.96 449.50 464.96 7 1 1 0.09
Quarterly 6/1/19 483.03 494.04 475.19 483.20 7 1 1 0.09

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 1,503.78 1,502.32 0.10
Annual 12/1/16 1,362.83 1,361.66 0.09
Annual 12/1/15 1,262.19 1,261.04 0.09
Quarterly 6/1/18 436.80 438.34 -0.35
Quarterly 3/1/18 425.40 424.61 0.19
Quarterly 12/1/17 378.56 377.11 0.38
Quarterly 9/1/17 348.77 349.78 -0.29

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 12.32 11.46 1.07
FY1 10.25 32.32 0.32
FY2 8.48 11.04 0.77

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 1.23 0.32 1.01
FY2/FY1 20.25 12.57 1.07
FY3/FY2 20.25 12.57 1.07