Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 152.00
Price - 52 Week High: 157.50
Price - 52 Week Low: 98.18
Price Date (Latest): 10/18/19
Median Price Target: 168.08
Diff from Prev Close: 16.08
% Difference: 10.58

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.21

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 10.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 2.80
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 15.70
Yield (%): 1.84

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 16.67 19.04 13.84 16.79 8 3 2 1.04
Annual 12/1/20 15.27 17.32 14.00 14.96 14 5 3 1.63
Annual 12/1/19 13.64 14.15 13.11 13.77 12 3 3 0.67
Quarterly 3/1/20 3.99 4.35 3.53 4.06 9 3 3 1.04
Quarterly 6/1/20 5.06 5.38 4.69 5.13 9 3 3 -0.31
Quarterly 9/1/19 2.18 2.45 1.88 2.24 14 3 5 -0.96
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.58 4.00 3.14 3.57 14 5 2 2.81
Long Term Growth 20.56 26.40 14.72 20.56 2 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 10.00 9.97 0.33
Annual 12/1/17 9.55 8.56 11.52
Annual 12/1/16 13.21 13.19 0.18
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.33 4.61 -6.05
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.52 3.88 -9.34
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.56 2.47 3.49
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.94 0.96 -2.04

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 42.66
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 80.05 82.65 77.90 79.61 3 1 -- 0.10
Annual 12/1/20 66.16 67.81 65.08 65.59 3 1 -- 0.06
Annual 12/1/19 54.01 54.36 53.48 54.19 3 -- 1 -0.02
Quarterly 3/1/20 57.82 57.82 57.82 57.82 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 62.10 62.10 62.10 62.10 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 52.19 52.19 52.19 52.19 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 54.36 54.36 54.36 54.36 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 42.66 40.13 6.30
Annual 12/1/17 34.11 33.88 0.68
Annual 12/1/16 28.47 30.16 -5.59
Quarterly 6/1/19 49.34 45.76 7.83
Quarterly 3/1/19 45.34 45.79 -0.99
Quarterly 12/1/18 42.66 36.75 16.08
Quarterly 9/1/18 40.41 43.08 -6.19

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 22.33
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 27.14 28.43 25.85 27.14 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 26.56 29.16 25.25 25.27 3 -- 1 -1.47
Annual 12/1/19 25.40 27.31 23.48 25.40 2 1 -- 1.70
Quarterly 3/1/20 8.69 10.96 6.43 8.69 2 -- 1 -4.03
Quarterly 6/1/20 7.39 7.40 7.38 7.39 2 -- 1 -6.28
Quarterly 9/1/19 4.37 4.71 4.04 4.37 2 1 -- 0.81
Quarterly 12/1/19 6.09 6.28 5.91 6.09 2 1 -- 6.93

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 22.33 37.24 -40.03
Annual 12/1/17 23.91 18.71 27.78
Annual 12/1/16 21.04 22.90 -8.10
Quarterly 6/1/19 7.31 7.35 -0.58
Quarterly 12/1/18 4.16 4.37 -4.72
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.43 3.50 -87.71

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.80 4 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 2.81 2.84 2.80 2.80 6 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 2.81 2.84 2.80 2.80 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2.80 2.82 -0.71
Annual 12/1/17 2.80 2.85 -1.70
Annual 12/1/16 2.40 3.74 -35.76
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.70 0.70 --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.70 0.70 --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.70 0.70 --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.70 0.70 --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 243.46
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 430.32 487.03 380.80 435.67 7 2 1 -0.63
Annual 12/1/20 394.06 429.40 361.00 390.75 10 3 1 1.44
Annual 12/1/19 358.97 371.90 348.00 358.29 10 3 1 0.64
Quarterly 3/1/20 102.43 107.18 96.00 103.27 4 -- 1 -0.81
Quarterly 6/1/20 123.01 128.59 112.00 125.72 4 -- 1 -2.56
Quarterly 9/1/19 65.57 70.56 60.00 65.30 7 2 -- 0.47
Quarterly 12/1/19 93.33 102.16 80.00 94.00 7 1 1 1.69

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 243.46 241.94 0.63
Annual 12/1/17 262.50 250.43 4.82
Annual 12/1/16 370.56 371.72 -0.31
Quarterly 6/1/19 108.11 113.83 -5.03
Quarterly 3/1/19 91.08 97.35 -6.45
Quarterly 12/1/18 63.09 61.49 2.59
Quarterly 9/1/18 26.18 30.58 -14.37

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 373.68
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 616.62 678.00 538.40 621.82 6 3 1 0.85
Annual 12/1/20 559.09 600.50 500.20 566.50 12 4 2 1.20
Annual 12/1/19 513.57 527.23 505.00 511.52 12 4 2 0.48
Quarterly 3/1/20 140.63 146.40 131.72 142.20 4 -- 1 -0.59
Quarterly 6/1/20 165.83 168.90 163.68 165.38 4 -- 1 -1.91
Quarterly 9/1/19 105.88 111.82 98.90 105.60 7 2 -- 0.38
Quarterly 12/1/19 135.13 143.16 125.08 135.20 7 1 1 1.24

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 373.68 371.41 0.61
Annual 12/1/17 387.31 376.02 3.00
Annual 12/1/16 476.70 476.03 0.14
Quarterly 6/1/19 146.60 151.68 -3.35
Quarterly 3/1/19 127.26 133.98 -5.01
Quarterly 12/1/18 99.90 99.18 0.73
Quarterly 9/1/18 61.51 63.97 -3.84

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 10.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 16.53 19.04 13.84 16.63 4 1 2 0.15
Annual 12/1/20 15.21 17.32 14.00 14.90 11 3 3 0.61
Annual 12/1/19 13.59 14.15 13.11 13.60 10 3 2 0.60
Quarterly 3/1/20 3.92 4.20 3.53 4.04 6 2 2 0.17
Quarterly 6/1/20 5.22 5.58 4.85 5.19 6 2 2 -0.95
Quarterly 9/1/19 2.13 2.45 1.88 2.13 10 2 3 -0.61
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.55 4.00 3.24 3.50 10 4 1 3.77

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 10.00 10.00 0.01
Annual 12/1/17 11.93 8.25 44.54
Annual 12/1/16 13.21 13.16 0.41
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.33 4.62 -6.35
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.52 3.80 -7.41
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.56 2.47 3.64
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.94 0.90 4.21

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 875.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 771.88 975.92 342.30 786.00 5 -- 2 -15.70
Annual 12/1/20 878.25 1,099.82 317.50 1,006.29 5 1 1 -10.44
Annual 12/1/19 882.47 1,119.69 283.50 967.36 6 2 1 -0.05
Quarterly 3/1/20 1,025.63 1,025.63 1,025.63 1,025.63 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 998.04 998.04 998.04 998.04 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 1,093.91 1,093.91 1,093.91 1,093.91 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 1,119.69 1,119.69 1,119.69 1,119.69 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 875.70 732.34 19.58
Annual 12/1/17 752.80 1,024.86 -26.55
Annual 12/1/16 474.29 475.29 -0.21
Quarterly 6/1/19 828.60 1,376.55 -39.81
Quarterly 3/1/19 827.50 1,272.47 -34.97
Quarterly 12/1/18 875.70 780.36 12.22
Quarterly 9/1/18 887.70 1,046.45 -15.17

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 159.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 272.65 309.00 242.40 269.81 6 2 1 1.14
Annual 12/1/20 245.01 273.72 220.60 240.05 10 3 2 1.31
Annual 12/1/19 219.75 225.18 213.00 220.45 10 3 2 0.41
Quarterly 3/1/20 63.94 65.30 60.00 65.23 4 -- 1 -0.98
Quarterly 6/1/20 79.36 85.08 72.00 80.17 4 -- 1 -2.98
Quarterly 9/1/19 36.28 40.00 32.00 36.20 7 2 -- 0.47
Quarterly 12/1/19 56.77 63.14 49.00 57.00 7 1 1 2.01

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 159.70 158.36 0.85
Annual 12/1/17 156.10 138.71 12.53
Annual 12/1/16 219.59 218.14 0.67
Quarterly 6/1/19 69.55 73.71 -5.65
Quarterly 3/1/19 56.33 63.19 -10.87
Quarterly 12/1/18 40.94 38.63 5.98
Quarterly 9/1/18 15.15 14.19 6.77

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 25.79
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 23.66 26.10 21.00 23.77 4 -- -- 0.22
Annual 12/1/20 24.82 25.20 24.55 24.76 4 -- -- -0.65
Annual 12/1/19 28.13 28.65 27.40 28.23 4 -- -- 0.09
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 25.79 26.06 -0.27
Annual 12/1/17 28.00 28.67 -0.67
Annual 12/1/16 53.32 52.79 0.53

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,667.45
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2,218.87 2,327.30 2,147.35 2,199.00 7 -- 3 -0.47
Annual 12/1/20 2,009.86 2,128.30 1,947.00 2,009.60 13 1 6 -0.48
Annual 12/1/19 1,829.23 1,841.50 1,817.00 1,829.78 13 3 3 0.03
Quarterly 3/1/20 500.04 509.48 485.80 501.17 6 1 1 -0.27
Quarterly 6/1/20 538.36 552.93 524.17 539.72 6 -- 2 -0.66
Quarterly 9/1/19 429.62 437.60 419.18 429.90 11 1 1 0.02
Quarterly 12/1/19 458.05 469.00 452.20 456.50 11 4 -- 0.38

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,667.45 1,666.19 0.08
Annual 12/1/17 1,503.78 1,502.32 0.10
Annual 12/1/16 1,362.83 1,361.66 0.09
Quarterly 6/1/19 491.80 505.24 -2.66
Quarterly 3/1/19 451.62 452.54 -0.20
Quarterly 12/1/18 412.11 410.91 0.29
Quarterly 9/1/18 393.11 390.39 0.70

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 15.20 11.14 9.96

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 36.90 11.90 9.18