Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 97.21
Price - 52 Week High: 183.26
Price - 52 Week Low: 60.06
Price Date (Latest): 3/27/20
Median Price Target: 154.13
Diff from Prev Close: 56.92
% Difference: 58.55

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.30

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 14.26
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: 2.80
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 24.02
Yield (%): 3.08

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 17.06 23.35 8.68 17.25 5 -- 2 -12.74
Annual 12/1/21 15.18 21.00 6.54 16.93 10 1 4 -15.79
Annual 12/1/20 10.69 18.31 -9.22 15.38 10 -- 6 -39.39
Quarterly 3/1/20 2.83 4.93 -0.78 3.27 10 -- 7 -37.59
Quarterly 6/1/20 1.88 5.88 -7.27 3.35 10 -- 7 -66.52
Quarterly 9/1/20 1.90 5.83 -4.57 3.07 10 2 5 -41.13
Quarterly 12/1/20 4.08 5.93 2.73 4.10 10 3 4 -4.46
Long Term Growth 20.02 21.10 18.17 20.80 3 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 14.26 14.50 -1.63
Annual 12/1/18 10.00 9.97 0.33
Annual 12/1/17 9.55 8.56 11.52
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.72 3.87 -3.94
Quarterly 9/1/19 2.70 2.18 23.92
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.33 4.61 -6.05
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.52 3.88 -9.34

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 54.25
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 97.98 97.98 97.98 97.98 1 1 -- 1.86
Annual 12/1/21 83.79 83.79 83.79 83.79 1 1 -- 2.18
Annual 12/1/20 70.10 70.10 70.10 70.10 1 1 -- 2.67

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 54.25 54.41 -0.30
Annual 12/1/18 42.66 40.13 6.30
Annual 12/1/17 34.11 33.88 0.68

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 27.47
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 31.63 31.63 31.63 31.63 1 1 -- 1.51
Annual 12/1/21 29.64 30.20 29.08 29.64 2 1 1 -15.12
Annual 12/1/20 7.07 7.07 7.07 7.07 1 -- 1 -78.11
Quarterly 3/1/20 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1 -- 1 -91.35
Quarterly 6/1/20 -10.42 -10.42 -10.42 -10.42 1 -- 1 -223.61
Quarterly 9/1/20 5.46 5.46 5.46 5.46 1 -- 1 -31.49
Quarterly 12/1/20 10.88 10.88 10.88 10.88 1 1 -- 82.24

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 27.47 24.81 10.72
Annual 12/1/18 22.33 37.24 -40.03
Annual 12/1/17 23.91 18.71 27.78
Quarterly 12/1/19 7.45 4.77 56.18
Quarterly 9/1/19 2.74 4.37 -37.34
Quarterly 6/1/19 7.31 7.35 -0.58

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.80 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 3.04 3.74 2.80 2.80 4 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 2.82 2.85 2.80 2.80 3 -- -- 0.15
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 2.80 2.81 -0.36
Annual 12/1/18 2.80 2.82 -0.71
Annual 12/1/17 2.80 2.85 -1.70
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.70 0.70 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.70 0.70 --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.70 0.70 --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 363.95
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 460.10 548.00 414.29 418.00 3 -- 1 -5.28
Annual 12/1/21 388.39 472.90 306.81 403.00 5 -- 2 -12.37
Annual 12/1/20 341.39 460.20 8.67 395.00 7 -- 3 -18.38
Quarterly 3/1/20 84.17 116.90 -3.85 107.00 5 -- 2 -22.90
Quarterly 6/1/20 86.32 136.10 -66.60 134.00 5 -- 2 -33.58
Quarterly 9/1/20 65.18 91.80 -12.09 82.40 5 1 1 -21.17
Quarterly 12/1/20 101.86 117.60 91.21 102.70 5 1 1 0.46

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 363.95 365.26 -0.36
Annual 12/1/18 243.46 241.94 0.63
Annual 12/1/17 262.50 250.43 4.82
Quarterly 12/1/19 92.65 95.23 -2.70
Quarterly 9/1/19 72.12 65.57 9.98
Quarterly 6/1/19 108.11 113.83 -5.03
Quarterly 3/1/19 91.08 97.35 -6.45

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 628.84 640.00 619.61 626.90 3 1 1 -3.87
Annual 12/1/21 598.24 659.00 501.77 613.00 7 1 2 -6.14
Annual 12/1/20 542.19 646.00 191.63 602.70 7 -- 2 -9.81
Quarterly 3/1/20 117.90 161.30 38.89 135.71 4 -- 2 -21.37
Quarterly 6/1/20 115.48 179.90 -21.86 151.95 4 -- 2 -32.49
Quarterly 9/1/20 107.62 139.50 34.65 128.16 4 1 1 -16.57
Quarterly 12/1/20 153.15 165.30 139.95 153.68 4 1 1 0.79

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 373.68 371.41 0.61
Annual 12/1/17 387.31 376.02 3.00
Quarterly 9/1/19 111.55 105.88 5.36
Quarterly 6/1/19 146.60 151.68 -3.35
Quarterly 3/1/19 127.26 133.98 -5.01

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 14.26
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 18.94 23.35 16.40 18.00 4 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 17.28 21.00 12.18 17.40 8 1 1 -3.60
Annual 12/1/20 14.95 18.31 -2.06 17.00 9 -- 2 -13.52
Quarterly 3/1/20 3.79 4.93 -0.78 4.40 9 -- 2 -16.17
Quarterly 6/1/20 3.97 5.88 -3.76 5.20 9 -- 3 -27.41
Quarterly 9/1/20 2.91 5.83 -1.25 3.01 9 1 1 -5.21
Quarterly 12/1/20 4.29 5.93 3.72 4.01 9 1 1 1.77

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 14.26 14.52 -1.78
Annual 12/1/18 10.00 10.00 0.01
Annual 12/1/17 11.93 8.25 44.54
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.72 3.89 -4.44
Quarterly 9/1/19 2.70 2.13 26.51
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.33 4.62 -6.35
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.52 3.80 -7.41

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 964.10
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 529.98 953.86 106.10 529.98 2 2 -- 22.74
Annual 12/1/21 889.81 1,388.00 170.70 1,110.74 3 2 -- 6.36
Annual 12/1/20 931.21 1,325.00 212.50 1,256.13 3 2 -- 3.71

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 964.10 754.52 27.78
Annual 12/1/18 875.70 732.34 19.58
Annual 12/1/17 752.80 1,024.86 -26.55

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 232.12
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 303.86 365.50 272.00 274.09 3 -- 1 -5.55
Annual 12/1/21 262.47 308.10 194.86 278.00 7 -- 2 -10.48
Annual 12/1/20 212.52 292.50 -32.98 252.00 7 -- 4 -24.46
Quarterly 3/1/20 53.58 78.10 -12.41 69.00 5 -- 2 -26.60
Quarterly 6/1/20 53.86 94.00 -60.12 81.00 5 -- 2 -39.68
Quarterly 9/1/20 38.05 56.20 -19.97 53.00 5 -- 2 -27.90
Quarterly 12/1/20 64.22 70.30 59.52 62.00 5 -- 2 -5.49

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 232.12 231.82 0.13
Annual 12/1/18 159.70 158.36 0.85
Annual 12/1/17 156.10 138.71 12.53
Quarterly 12/1/19 60.52 59.94 0.96
Quarterly 9/1/19 43.93 36.28 21.09
Quarterly 6/1/19 69.55 73.71 -5.65
Quarterly 3/1/19 56.33 63.19 -10.87

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 29.50
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 18.70 18.70 18.70 18.70 1 -- -- -2.09
Annual 12/1/21 22.65 23.90 21.40 22.65 2 -- -- -1.31
Annual 12/1/20 16.00 27.90 -3.80 23.90 3 -- -- -42.39

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 29.50 29.70 -0.20
Annual 12/1/18 25.79 26.06 -0.27
Annual 12/1/17 28.00 28.67 -0.67

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,840.97
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 2,441.09 2,599.60 2,264.96 2,449.90 4 1 1 -1.79
Annual 12/1/21 2,114.52 2,342.50 1,682.95 2,205.14 9 2 3 -6.16
Annual 12/1/20 1,814.11 2,072.00 1,289.64 1,949.30 9 -- 6 -11.13
Quarterly 3/1/20 478.99 531.00 395.11 489.65 8 -- 6 -7.07
Quarterly 6/1/20 421.83 554.00 198.94 457.24 8 -- 6 -22.51
Quarterly 9/1/20 423.12 502.07 284.49 461.45 8 1 5 -12.47
Quarterly 12/1/20 461.30 510.53 364.58 475.44 8 1 5 -7.31

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 1,840.97 1,839.71 0.07
Annual 12/1/18 1,667.45 1,666.19 0.08
Annual 12/1/17 1,503.78 1,502.32 0.10
Quarterly 12/1/19 461.07 458.37 0.59
Quarterly 9/1/19 436.51 430.02 1.51
Quarterly 6/1/19 491.80 505.24 -2.66
Quarterly 3/1/19 451.62 452.54 -0.20

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 6.82 9.10 6.40

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate -26.27 42.06 12.33