Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 151.52
Price - 52 Week High: 157.50
Price - 52 Week Low: 98.18
Price Date (Latest): 9/17/19
Median Price Target: 164.00
Diff from Prev Close: 12.48
% Difference: 8.24

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.21

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 10.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 2.80
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 15.70
Yield (%): 1.85

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 16.50 19.12 13.91 16.24 8 -- 1 -0.92
Annual 12/1/20 15.02 18.19 13.90 14.96 14 1 1 -0.31
Annual 12/1/19 13.55 13.87 13.00 13.57 12 -- 1 -0.46
Quarterly 3/1/20 3.95 4.29 3.65 3.88 9 1 1 1.58
Quarterly 6/1/20 5.07 6.00 4.50 4.97 9 1 1 -0.21
Quarterly 9/1/19 2.20 2.50 1.86 2.23 14 -- 1 -2.23
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.48 3.91 3.05 3.45 14 1 -- 0.31
Long Term Growth 22.81 30.90 14.72 22.81 2 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 10.00 9.97 0.33
Annual 12/1/17 9.55 8.56 11.52
Annual 12/1/16 13.21 13.19 0.18
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.33 4.61 -6.05
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.52 3.88 -9.34
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.56 2.47 3.49
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.94 0.96 -2.04

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 42.66
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 79.98 82.65 77.90 79.38 3 1 -- 0.01
Annual 12/1/20 66.12 67.81 64.97 65.59 3 1 -- 0.64
Annual 12/1/19 54.02 54.36 53.48 54.23 3 1 -- 1.44
Quarterly 3/1/20 57.82 57.82 57.82 57.82 1 1 -- 4.26
Quarterly 6/1/20 62.10 62.10 62.10 62.10 1 1 -- 4.14
Quarterly 9/1/19 52.19 52.19 52.19 52.19 1 1 -- 4.43
Quarterly 12/1/19 54.36 54.36 54.36 54.36 1 1 -- 4.42

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 42.66 40.13 6.30
Annual 12/1/17 34.11 33.88 0.68
Annual 12/1/16 28.47 30.16 -5.59
Quarterly 6/1/19 49.34 45.76 7.83
Quarterly 3/1/19 45.34 45.79 -0.99
Quarterly 12/1/18 42.66 36.75 16.08
Quarterly 9/1/18 40.41 43.08 -6.19

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 22.33
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 27.14 28.43 25.85 27.14 2 -- 1 -2.21
Annual 12/1/20 26.96 30.35 25.25 25.27 3 -- 1 -1.41
Annual 12/1/19 24.97 26.46 23.48 24.97 2 1 -- 1.88
Quarterly 3/1/20 9.06 11.69 6.43 9.06 2 -- 1 -0.16
Quarterly 6/1/20 7.88 8.39 7.38 7.88 2 1 1 -1.49
Quarterly 9/1/19 4.34 4.71 3.97 4.34 2 -- 1 -0.23
Quarterly 12/1/19 5.70 6.28 5.12 5.70 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 22.33 37.24 -40.03
Annual 12/1/17 23.91 18.71 27.78
Annual 12/1/16 21.04 22.90 -8.10
Quarterly 6/1/19 7.31 7.35 -0.58
Quarterly 12/1/18 4.16 4.37 -4.72
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.43 3.50 -87.71

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.80 4 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 2.81 2.84 2.80 2.80 6 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 2.81 2.84 2.80 2.80 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2.80 2.82 -0.71
Annual 12/1/17 2.80 2.85 -1.70
Annual 12/1/16 2.40 3.74 -35.76
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.70 0.70 --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.70 0.70 --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.70 0.70 --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.70 0.70 --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 243.46
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 433.04 533.06 380.80 416.70 7 -- 1 -0.77
Annual 12/1/20 388.48 444.30 361.00 376.82 10 -- 1 -0.66
Annual 12/1/19 356.67 371.90 348.00 354.35 10 -- -- -0.08
Quarterly 3/1/20 103.27 107.18 96.00 104.95 4 -- -- 0.44
Quarterly 6/1/20 126.24 141.51 112.00 125.72 4 -- 1 -0.23
Quarterly 9/1/19 65.27 70.56 60.00 65.30 7 -- -- 0.32
Quarterly 12/1/19 91.78 102.16 80.00 91.90 7 -- -- -0.71

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 243.46 241.94 0.63
Annual 12/1/17 262.50 250.43 4.82
Annual 12/1/16 370.56 371.72 -0.31
Quarterly 6/1/19 108.11 113.83 -5.03
Quarterly 3/1/19 91.08 97.35 -6.45
Quarterly 12/1/18 63.09 61.49 2.59
Quarterly 9/1/18 26.18 30.58 -14.37

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 373.68
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 615.40 679.00 538.40 607.30 6 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 554.29 600.50 500.20 545.98 12 -- -- -0.40
Annual 12/1/19 511.10 527.23 502.90 508.56 12 -- -- -0.10
Quarterly 3/1/20 141.47 146.40 131.72 143.88 4 -- -- -0.59
Quarterly 6/1/20 170.28 178.51 163.68 169.46 4 -- -- 0.24
Quarterly 9/1/19 105.48 111.82 98.90 104.40 7 -- -- 0.20
Quarterly 12/1/19 133.48 143.16 125.08 132.90 7 -- -- -0.60

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 373.68 371.41 0.61
Annual 12/1/17 387.31 376.02 3.00
Annual 12/1/16 476.70 476.03 0.14
Quarterly 6/1/19 146.60 151.68 -3.35
Quarterly 3/1/19 127.26 133.98 -5.01
Quarterly 12/1/18 99.90 99.18 0.73
Quarterly 9/1/18 61.51 63.97 -3.84

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 10.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 16.51 19.12 13.91 16.50 4 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 15.11 18.19 13.90 14.97 11 1 -- 0.30
Annual 12/1/19 13.51 13.87 13.00 13.53 11 -- 1 -0.50
Quarterly 3/1/20 3.91 4.29 3.56 3.92 6 1 -- 2.53
Quarterly 6/1/20 5.27 6.00 4.50 5.25 6 1 -- 0.51
Quarterly 9/1/19 2.14 2.50 1.86 2.18 10 -- 1 -3.16
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.42 3.85 3.05 3.41 10 1 -- 0.44

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 10.00 10.00 0.01
Annual 12/1/17 11.93 8.25 44.54
Annual 12/1/16 13.21 13.16 0.41
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.33 4.62 -6.35
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.52 3.80 -7.41
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.56 2.47 3.64
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.94 0.90 4.21

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 875.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 915.64 1,570.00 342.30 881.79 6 -- 1 -2.31
Annual 12/1/20 980.65 1,449.00 317.50 1,052.18 6 -- 1 -2.27
Annual 12/1/19 882.87 1,119.69 283.50 963.85 6 -- 1 -2.64
Quarterly 3/1/20 1,025.63 1,025.63 1,025.63 1,025.63 1 -- 1 -12.62
Quarterly 6/1/20 998.04 998.04 998.04 998.04 1 -- 1 -12.75
Quarterly 9/1/19 1,093.91 1,093.91 1,093.91 1,093.91 1 -- 1 -10.50
Quarterly 12/1/19 1,119.69 1,119.69 1,119.69 1,119.69 1 -- 1 -11.38

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 875.70 732.34 19.58
Annual 12/1/17 752.80 1,024.86 -26.55
Annual 12/1/16 474.29 475.29 -0.21
Quarterly 6/1/19 828.60 1,376.55 -39.81
Quarterly 3/1/19 827.50 1,272.47 -34.97
Quarterly 12/1/18 875.70 780.36 12.22
Quarterly 9/1/18 887.70 1,046.45 -15.17

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 159.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 269.58 311.00 242.40 260.91 6 -- 1 -1.20
Annual 12/1/20 241.84 287.42 220.60 237.15 10 -- 1 -0.62
Annual 12/1/19 218.85 223.86 215.00 218.10 10 -- -- 0.01
Quarterly 3/1/20 64.58 67.72 60.00 65.29 4 -- 1 0.50
Quarterly 6/1/20 81.79 94.83 72.00 80.17 4 -- 1 -0.33
Quarterly 9/1/19 36.11 40.00 32.00 36.20 7 -- -- 0.66
Quarterly 12/1/19 55.65 60.00 49.00 55.40 7 -- -- -0.68

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 159.70 158.36 0.85
Annual 12/1/17 156.10 138.71 12.53
Annual 12/1/16 219.59 218.14 0.67
Quarterly 6/1/19 69.55 73.71 -5.65
Quarterly 3/1/19 56.33 63.19 -10.87
Quarterly 12/1/18 40.94 38.63 5.98
Quarterly 9/1/18 15.15 14.19 6.77

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 25.79
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 23.61 26.00 21.00 23.72 4 -- -- -1.91
Annual 12/1/20 24.98 25.70 24.30 24.96 4 -- -- -2.62
Annual 12/1/19 28.10 28.54 27.57 28.15 4 -- -- -0.11
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 25.79 26.06 -0.27
Annual 12/1/17 28.00 28.67 -0.67
Annual 12/1/16 53.32 52.79 0.53

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,667.45
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2,229.31 2,327.30 2,186.00 2,202.05 7 -- 1 -0.15
Annual 12/1/20 2,017.38 2,128.30 1,916.21 2,022.70 13 -- 2 -0.23
Annual 12/1/19 1,828.65 1,841.50 1,811.26 1,831.90 13 -- 1 -0.07
Quarterly 3/1/20 499.78 508.31 478.97 504.98 7 -- 1 -0.11
Quarterly 6/1/20 542.30 559.63 516.81 541.14 7 -- 2 -0.55
Quarterly 9/1/19 429.74 437.60 419.18 430.20 11 -- 1 -0.21
Quarterly 12/1/19 456.03 469.00 440.52 455.93 11 -- 1 -0.01

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,667.45 1,666.19 0.08
Annual 12/1/17 1,503.78 1,502.32 0.10
Annual 12/1/16 1,362.83 1,361.66 0.09
Quarterly 6/1/19 491.80 505.24 -2.66
Quarterly 3/1/19 451.62 452.54 -0.20
Quarterly 12/1/18 412.11 410.91 0.29
Quarterly 9/1/18 393.11 390.39 0.70

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 15.15 11.18 10.09

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 35.99 10.84 9.82