Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 168.19
Price - 52 Week High: 174.92
Price - 52 Week Low: 98.18
Price Date (Latest): 11/20/19
Median Price Target: 188.82
Diff from Prev Close: 20.63
% Difference: 12.26

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.23

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 10.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 2.80
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 15.70
Yield (%): 1.66

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 17.61 19.49 15.10 17.74 9 5 1 7.38
Annual 12/1/20 16.68 18.04 15.41 16.50 13 13 -- 9.22
Annual 12/1/19 14.50 14.75 14.25 14.53 12 12 -- 6.37
Quarterly 3/1/20 4.37 4.98 3.97 4.44 10 6 2 9.65
Quarterly 6/1/20 5.28 5.91 4.56 5.29 10 6 1 4.47
Quarterly 9/1/20 3.04 3.75 2.75 2.98 10 5 1 23.19
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.90 4.22 3.55 3.84 13 9 2 9.75
Long Term Growth 20.70 26.30 14.71 21.10 3 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 10.00 9.97 0.33
Annual 12/1/17 9.55 8.56 11.52
Annual 12/1/16 13.21 13.19 0.18
Quarterly 9/1/19 2.70 2.18 23.92
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.33 4.61 -6.05
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.52 3.88 -9.34
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.56 2.47 3.49

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 42.66
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 80.47 80.68 80.25 80.47 2 2 -- 0.51
Annual 12/1/20 66.79 67.93 65.65 66.79 2 2 -- 0.95
Annual 12/1/19 54.24 54.26 54.21 54.24 2 2 -- 0.42

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 42.66 40.13 6.30
Annual 12/1/17 34.11 33.88 0.68
Annual 12/1/16 28.47 30.16 -5.59

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 22.33
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 26.05 26.05 26.05 26.05 1 1 -- -4.02
Annual 12/1/20 32.00 36.24 27.75 32.00 2 2 -- 20.46
Annual 12/1/19 25.09 25.09 25.09 25.09 1 -- 1 -1.21
Quarterly 3/1/20 12.63 12.63 12.63 12.63 1 1 -- 45.28
Quarterly 6/1/20 9.29 9.29 9.29 9.29 1 1 -- 25.73
Quarterly 9/1/20 7.15 7.15 7.15 7.15 1 -- -- 45.98
Quarterly 12/1/19 5.04 5.04 5.04 5.04 1 -- 1 -17.28

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 22.33 37.24 -40.03
Annual 12/1/17 23.91 18.71 27.78
Annual 12/1/16 21.04 22.90 -8.10
Quarterly 9/1/19 2.74 4.37 -37.34
Quarterly 6/1/19 7.31 7.35 -0.58
Quarterly 12/1/18 4.16 4.37 -4.72

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.80 3 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 2.81 2.87 2.80 2.80 5 1 -- 0.26
Annual 12/1/19 2.82 2.85 2.80 2.80 5 2 -- 0.21
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2.80 2.82 -0.71
Annual 12/1/17 2.80 2.85 -1.70
Annual 12/1/16 2.40 3.74 -35.76
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.70 0.70 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.70 0.70 --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.70 0.70 --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.70 0.70 --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 243.46
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 437.54 497.60 381.30 441.33 6 3 1 1.24
Annual 12/1/20 405.51 439.60 361.00 404.70 9 6 1 1.36
Annual 12/1/19 366.43 371.70 360.00 366.02 8 6 -- 1.56
Quarterly 3/1/20 108.06 122.30 96.00 109.00 5 2 -- 5.50
Quarterly 6/1/20 122.54 133.80 112.00 124.30 5 1 1 -0.38
Quarterly 9/1/20 76.05 82.27 69.00 76.80 5 -- 1 1.86
Quarterly 12/1/19 96.64 100.41 92.50 97.70 5 4 1 3.55

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 243.46 241.94 0.63
Annual 12/1/17 262.50 250.43 4.82
Annual 12/1/16 370.56 371.72 -0.31
Quarterly 9/1/19 72.12 65.57 9.98
Quarterly 6/1/19 108.11 113.83 -5.03
Quarterly 3/1/19 91.08 97.35 -6.45
Quarterly 12/1/18 63.09 61.49 2.59

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 373.68
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 630.58 683.00 539.00 639.64 8 4 1 2.26
Annual 12/1/20 580.77 610.70 524.00 586.15 12 12 -- 3.88
Annual 12/1/19 524.19 533.82 513.00 524.65 12 11 -- 2.07
Quarterly 3/1/20 151.31 162.00 143.41 152.50 5 3 -- 7.60
Quarterly 6/1/20 168.85 175.90 161.90 169.30 5 3 -- 1.82
Quarterly 9/1/20 122.55 128.71 119.70 120.50 5 1 1 3.11
Quarterly 12/1/19 140.86 148.10 133.20 140.93 6 5 1 4.24

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 373.68 371.41 0.61
Annual 12/1/17 387.31 376.02 3.00
Annual 12/1/16 476.70 476.03 0.14
Quarterly 9/1/19 111.55 105.88 5.36
Quarterly 6/1/19 146.60 151.68 -3.35
Quarterly 3/1/19 127.26 133.98 -5.01
Quarterly 12/1/18 99.90 99.18 0.73

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 10.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 17.05 19.50 14.79 17.20 7 2 1 3.11
Annual 12/1/20 16.48 18.04 15.50 16.40 10 9 -- 8.35
Annual 12/1/19 14.51 14.75 14.25 14.53 10 9 -- 6.77
Quarterly 3/1/20 4.39 4.98 3.96 4.46 9 4 1 12.17
Quarterly 6/1/20 5.17 5.54 4.56 5.23 9 3 1 -0.92
Quarterly 9/1/20 2.93 3.34 2.74 2.97 9 3 1 20.73
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.92 4.22 3.55 3.92 10 6 1 10.40

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 10.00 10.00 0.01
Annual 12/1/17 11.93 8.25 44.54
Annual 12/1/16 13.21 13.16 0.41
Quarterly 9/1/19 2.70 2.13 26.51
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.33 4.62 -6.35
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.52 3.80 -7.41
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.56 2.47 3.64

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 875.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 661.03 924.17 176.80 882.12 3 -- 3 -14.36
Annual 12/1/20 776.43 1,159.65 154.60 1,015.03 3 1 2 -11.59
Annual 12/1/19 701.45 968.90 249.70 885.76 3 -- 3 -20.51

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 875.70 732.34 19.58
Annual 12/1/17 752.80 1,024.86 -26.55
Annual 12/1/16 474.29 475.29 -0.21

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 159.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 281.60 309.70 242.10 292.53 6 2 2 4.76
Annual 12/1/20 264.15 289.26 225.00 264.60 9 8 -- 7.36
Annual 12/1/19 233.08 238.00 229.00 232.58 8 8 -- 6.24
Quarterly 3/1/20 70.80 79.60 60.00 71.40 5 2 -- 10.73
Quarterly 6/1/20 82.29 88.84 72.00 85.80 5 2 -- 3.69
Quarterly 9/1/20 46.83 53.54 40.00 47.50 5 -- 1 10.45
Quarterly 12/1/19 61.57 66.40 57.00 61.00 5 4 -- 8.47

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 159.70 158.36 0.85
Annual 12/1/17 156.10 138.71 12.53
Annual 12/1/16 219.59 218.14 0.67
Quarterly 9/1/19 43.93 36.28 21.09
Quarterly 6/1/19 69.55 73.71 -5.65
Quarterly 3/1/19 56.33 63.19 -10.87
Quarterly 12/1/18 40.94 38.63 5.98

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 25.79
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 23.41 25.74 20.40 24.10 3 -- -- -1.05
Annual 12/1/20 26.20 27.00 25.40 26.20 3 -- -- 5.57
Annual 12/1/19 29.83 30.60 29.30 29.71 4 -- -- 6.04

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 25.79 26.06 -0.27
Annual 12/1/17 28.00 28.67 -0.67
Annual 12/1/16 53.32 52.79 0.53

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,667.45
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2,236.11 2,325.00 2,123.00 2,239.85 8 4 2 0.24
Annual 12/1/20 2,024.12 2,095.40 1,964.60 2,023.74 12 10 2 0.48
Annual 12/1/19 1,839.63 1,848.00 1,828.70 1,842.15 12 11 1 0.54
Quarterly 3/1/20 504.10 522.10 484.34 502.21 7 3 2 0.81
Quarterly 6/1/20 538.89 546.63 527.38 539.10 7 3 2 0.10
Quarterly 9/1/20 475.91 482.31 468.13 478.78 7 2 1 1.92
Quarterly 12/1/19 459.18 464.70 448.80 462.02 9 6 3 0.25

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,667.45 1,666.19 0.08
Annual 12/1/17 1,503.78 1,502.32 0.10
Annual 12/1/16 1,362.83 1,361.66 0.09
Quarterly 9/1/19 436.51 430.02 1.51
Quarterly 6/1/19 491.80 505.24 -2.66
Quarterly 3/1/19 451.62 452.54 -0.20
Quarterly 12/1/18 412.11 410.91 0.29

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 16.82 11.60 10.09

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 45.49 15.01 5.60