Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 148.55
Price - 52 Week High: 152.00
Price - 52 Week Low: 98.18
Price Date (Latest): 7/17/19
Median Price Target: 165.23
Diff from Prev Close: 16.68
% Difference: 11.23

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.13

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 10.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 2.80
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 15.70
Yield (%): 1.88

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 16.32 19.14 14.41 15.98 8 2 1 1.66
Annual 12/1/20 14.76 19.33 13.25 14.66 16 7 2 2.01
Annual 12/1/19 13.48 14.40 12.35 13.50 15 6 1 1.65
Quarterly 3/1/20 3.77 4.62 3.25 3.63 9 1 3 0.88
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.61 5.01 4.03 4.65 16 2 5 -0.57
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.97 2.56 1.20 2.03 16 7 -- 7.89
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.35 4.03 2.85 3.35 16 6 1 3.79
Long Term Growth 23.66 32.60 14.72 23.66 2 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 10.00 9.97 0.33
Annual 12/1/17 9.55 8.56 11.52
Annual 12/1/16 13.21 13.19 0.18
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.52 3.88 -9.34
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.56 2.47 3.49
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.94 0.96 -2.04
Quarterly 6/1/18 3.10 2.71 14.31

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 42.66
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 76.35 77.82 73.80 77.42 3 1 -- 0.31
Annual 12/1/20 63.55 65.50 61.59 63.56 3 1 -- 0.35
Annual 12/1/19 52.53 54.10 50.18 53.32 3 1 -- 0.40
Quarterly 3/1/20 54.47 54.47 54.47 54.47 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 45.76 45.76 45.76 45.76 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 48.19 48.19 48.19 48.19 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 50.17 50.17 50.17 50.17 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 42.66 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 34.11 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 28.47 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 45.34 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 42.66 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 40.41 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 39.88 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 22.33
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 26.27 26.66 25.89 26.27 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 26.97 31.39 24.26 25.25 3 1 -- 3.47
Annual 12/1/19 24.56 26.10 23.02 24.56 2 1 -- 2.29
Quarterly 3/1/20 8.91 12.20 5.62 8.91 2 1 -- 4.76
Quarterly 6/1/19 7.35 7.69 7.02 7.35 2 1 -- 0.48
Quarterly 9/1/19 3.96 4.37 3.54 3.96 2 1 -- 6.89
Quarterly 12/1/19 5.37 5.85 4.88 5.37 2 1 -- 5.20

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 22.33 37.24 -40.03
Annual 12/1/17 23.91 18.71 27.78
Annual 12/1/16 21.04 22.90 -8.10
Quarterly 12/1/18 4.16 4.37 -4.72
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.43 3.50 -87.71
Quarterly 6/1/18 6.70 5.03 33.29

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.80 4 -- -- -0.36
Annual 12/1/20 2.87 3.23 2.80 2.80 7 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 2.83 2.94 2.80 2.80 7 1 -- 0.05
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 2.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2.40 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.70 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.70 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.70 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.70 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 243.46
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 431.52 546.06 380.00 410.66 6 1 2 1.91
Annual 12/1/20 377.16 460.51 317.00 378.00 11 2 1 1.22
Annual 12/1/19 351.47 366.00 326.80 351.40 11 4 -- 1.42
Quarterly 3/1/20 96.52 110.61 86.80 94.33 4 1 -- 3.73
Quarterly 6/1/19 114.35 123.40 105.50 113.73 8 1 1 0.03
Quarterly 9/1/19 56.12 65.40 42.20 57.44 8 2 -- 6.74
Quarterly 12/1/19 88.72 104.90 81.00 87.55 8 2 -- 1.78

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 243.46 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 262.50 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 370.56 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 91.08 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 63.09 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 26.18 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 74.22 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 373.68
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 609.27 684.00 537.60 600.40 5 1 -- 0.36
Annual 12/1/20 543.21 587.80 455.40 552.51 12 1 1 0.22
Annual 12/1/19 505.11 521.00 481.60 503.60 12 2 1 0.39
Quarterly 3/1/20 131.33 136.04 127.66 130.82 4 -- -- 1.21
Quarterly 6/1/19 152.50 161.30 143.50 153.62 8 -- 1 0.13
Quarterly 9/1/19 95.80 108.38 81.70 96.91 8 1 -- 4.53
Quarterly 12/1/19 129.35 146.20 117.91 127.27 8 -- 1 -0.30

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 373.68 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 387.31 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 476.70 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 127.26 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 99.90 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 61.51 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 104.13 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 10.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 16.76 19.14 14.41 16.75 4 2 -- 2.92
Annual 12/1/20 14.89 19.33 13.25 14.78 12 4 1 2.31
Annual 12/1/19 13.51 14.40 12.35 13.50 12 5 1 2.13
Quarterly 3/1/20 3.79 4.62 3.31 3.56 5 1 1 2.73
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.64 5.01 4.10 4.65 11 2 3 0.26
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.93 2.56 1.20 1.91 11 5 -- 11.06
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.29 3.65 2.92 3.24 11 4 1 4.23

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 10.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 11.93 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 13.21 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.52 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.56 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.94 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 3.10 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 875.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,043.75 1,633.00 389.60 1,013.38 6 -- 2 11.74
Annual 12/1/20 1,097.22 1,589.92 364.30 1,125.06 6 -- 2 17.49
Annual 12/1/19 1,037.54 1,661.60 328.70 1,070.49 6 -- 2 13.94
Quarterly 3/1/20 1,596.75 1,596.75 1,596.75 1,596.75 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,376.55 1,376.55 1,376.55 1,376.55 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 1,527.48 1,527.48 1,527.48 1,527.48 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 1,661.60 1,661.60 1,661.60 1,661.60 1 -- -- 57.01

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 875.70 732.34 19.58
Annual 12/1/17 752.80 1,024.86 -26.55
Annual 12/1/16 474.29 475.29 -0.21
Quarterly 3/1/19 827.50 1,272.47 -34.97
Quarterly 12/1/18 875.70 780.36 12.22
Quarterly 9/1/18 887.70 1,046.45 -15.17
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,901.20 1,041.71 82.51

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 159.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 264.02 310.00 239.96 249.79 5 3 -- 0.98
Annual 12/1/20 236.43 309.55 208.20 228.00 11 4 -- 1.88
Annual 12/1/19 217.52 230.51 197.80 215.10 11 5 -- 2.21
Quarterly 3/1/20 60.70 73.98 52.03 58.40 4 1 -- 4.51
Quarterly 6/1/19 74.11 79.70 65.00 74.17 8 1 1 -0.23
Quarterly 9/1/19 30.80 37.87 19.10 32.43 8 2 -- 9.65
Quarterly 12/1/19 53.24 58.20 48.00 53.35 8 2 -- 2.41

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 159.70 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 156.10 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 219.59 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 56.33 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 40.94 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 15.15 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 49.36 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 25.79
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 23.45 25.70 21.10 23.51 4 -- -- 0.21
Annual 12/1/20 24.62 25.60 22.27 25.30 4 -- -- -0.18
Annual 12/1/19 28.72 29.38 27.50 29.01 4 -- -- 2.44
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 25.79 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 28.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 53.32 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,667.45
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2,244.26 2,326.90 2,185.63 2,257.00 7 1 2 0.79
Annual 12/1/20 2,028.21 2,127.90 1,955.07 2,022.31 14 -- 7 -0.29
Annual 12/1/19 1,843.91 1,872.19 1,822.15 1,842.46 14 3 5 -0.02
Quarterly 3/1/20 502.94 510.00 482.87 507.70 7 -- 1 0.10
Quarterly 6/1/19 505.22 514.37 496.90 507.73 11 -- 4 -0.42
Quarterly 9/1/19 430.33 445.36 421.06 430.20 11 2 3 -0.01
Quarterly 12/1/19 456.24 482.10 440.96 453.99 11 1 3 -0.16

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,667.45 1,666.19 0.08
Annual 12/1/17 1,503.78 1,502.32 0.10
Annual 12/1/16 1,362.83 1,361.66 0.09
Quarterly 3/1/19 451.62 452.54 -0.20
Quarterly 12/1/18 412.11 410.91 0.29
Quarterly 9/1/18 393.11 390.39 0.70
Quarterly 6/1/18 436.80 438.34 -0.35

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 14.86 11.02 10.07

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 35.26 9.47 10.56