Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 143.55
Price - 52 Week High: 163.75
Price - 52 Week Low: 98.18
Price Date (Latest): 5/20/19
Median Price Target: 157.64
Diff from Prev Close: 14.09
% Difference: 9.82

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.13

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 10.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 2.80
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 15.70
Yield (%): 1.95

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 16.09 18.50 13.11 15.70 7 1 1 -0.18
Annual 12/1/20 14.42 16.76 10.67 14.81 15 8 2 1.00
Annual 12/1/19 13.23 14.22 11.41 13.39 14 8 3 0.56
Quarterly 3/1/20 3.69 4.13 3.25 3.63 7 -- 4 -7.22
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.70 5.01 4.25 4.73 14 10 2 3.86
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.79 2.26 1.20 1.86 14 4 7 -0.69
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.16 4.03 1.84 3.20 14 9 3 5.82
Long Term Growth 22.06 29.40 14.72 22.06 2 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 10.00 9.97 0.33
Annual 12/1/17 9.55 8.56 11.52
Annual 12/1/16 13.21 13.19 0.18
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.52 3.88 -9.34
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.56 2.47 3.49
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.94 0.96 -2.04
Quarterly 6/1/18 3.10 2.71 14.31

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 42.66
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 76.40 77.82 73.80 77.58 3 2 -- 1.14
Annual 12/1/20 63.41 65.50 61.59 63.15 3 2 -- 1.36
Annual 12/1/19 52.28 53.33 50.18 53.32 3 2 -- 1.57
Quarterly 3/1/20 54.47 54.47 54.47 54.47 1 1 -- 1.10
Quarterly 6/1/19 45.76 45.76 45.76 45.76 1 1 -- 1.12
Quarterly 9/1/19 48.19 48.19 48.19 48.19 1 1 -- 1.29
Quarterly 12/1/19 50.17 50.17 50.17 50.17 1 1 -- 2.43

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 42.66 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 34.11 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 28.47 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 45.34 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 42.66 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 40.41 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 39.88 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 22.33
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 26.27 26.66 25.89 26.27 2 2 -- 0.95
Annual 12/1/20 26.06 28.68 24.26 25.25 3 3 -- 2.04
Annual 12/1/19 24.01 25.00 23.02 24.01 2 2 -- 0.53
Quarterly 3/1/20 8.51 11.39 5.62 8.51 2 -- 1 38.62
Quarterly 6/1/19 7.32 7.62 7.02 7.32 2 2 -- 3.92
Quarterly 9/1/19 3.70 4.37 3.03 3.70 2 1 1 -5.08
Quarterly 12/1/19 5.10 5.85 4.35 5.10 2 2 -- 11.64

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 22.33 37.24 -40.03
Annual 12/1/17 23.91 18.71 27.78
Annual 12/1/16 21.04 22.90 -8.10
Quarterly 12/1/18 4.16 4.37 -4.72
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.43 3.50 -87.71
Quarterly 6/1/18 6.70 5.03 33.29

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2.81 2.85 2.80 2.80 5 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 2.87 3.23 2.80 2.80 7 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 2.83 2.94 2.80 2.80 7 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 2.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2.40 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.70 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.70 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.70 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.70 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 243.46
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 424.09 495.78 380.00 411.45 6 2 1 4.70
Annual 12/1/20 372.98 406.01 317.00 382.08 10 5 2 0.35
Annual 12/1/19 347.35 366.00 326.80 345.12 10 4 4 1.69
Quarterly 3/1/20 93.05 99.00 86.80 93.20 4 -- 2 -13.06
Quarterly 6/1/19 114.32 123.40 106.70 113.73 8 5 1 2.49
Quarterly 9/1/19 52.57 59.70 42.20 53.94 8 2 5 -1.19
Quarterly 12/1/19 87.17 104.90 76.23 86.01 8 4 2 7.18

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 243.46 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 262.50 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 370.56 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 91.08 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 63.09 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 26.18 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 74.22 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 373.68
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 611.11 673.00 537.60 616.28 5 1 -- 1.25
Annual 12/1/20 543.80 587.80 455.40 554.01 11 5 2 0.76
Annual 12/1/19 504.68 520.00 481.60 504.38 10 2 4 1.08
Quarterly 3/1/20 134.68 142.40 127.90 133.73 3 -- 1 -8.26
Quarterly 6/1/19 152.35 161.30 144.30 151.77 7 5 -- 4.02
Quarterly 9/1/19 92.02 99.50 81.70 92.02 7 1 4 -1.47
Quarterly 12/1/19 128.54 146.20 117.44 127.90 7 5 -- 4.92

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 373.68 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 387.31 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 476.70 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 127.26 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 99.90 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 61.51 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 104.13 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 10.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 16.29 18.50 13.11 17.25 3 -- 1 -0.51
Annual 12/1/20 14.48 16.76 10.67 15.00 11 6 1 2.12
Annual 12/1/19 13.18 14.22 11.41 13.25 11 5 2 0.87
Quarterly 3/1/20 3.62 3.97 3.31 3.60 4 -- 3 -10.46
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.65 5.01 4.00 4.82 11 6 2 4.03
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.71 2.26 1.20 1.74 11 3 5 -2.94
Quarterly 12/1/19 3.11 3.65 1.84 3.24 11 6 2 3.79

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 10.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 11.93 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 13.21 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.52 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.56 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.94 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 3.10 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 875.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 956.67 1,427.16 389.60 1,056.87 5 -- 3 -9.85
Annual 12/1/20 954.34 1,589.92 364.30 1,024.45 6 -- 3 -5.92
Annual 12/1/19 932.20 1,661.60 328.70 958.60 6 -- 3 -3.78
Quarterly 3/1/20 1,596.75 1,596.75 1,596.75 1,596.75 1 -- 1 -0.73
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,376.55 1,376.55 1,376.55 1,376.55 1 -- 1 -1.69
Quarterly 9/1/19 1,527.48 1,527.48 1,527.48 1,527.48 1 -- 1 -1.10
Quarterly 12/1/19 1,058.30 1,661.60 455.00 1,058.30 2 -- 1 -1.40

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 875.70 732.34 19.58
Annual 12/1/17 752.80 1,024.86 -26.55
Annual 12/1/16 474.29 475.29 -0.21
Quarterly 3/1/19 827.50 1,272.47 -34.97
Quarterly 12/1/18 875.70 780.36 12.22
Quarterly 9/1/18 887.70 1,046.45 -15.17
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,901.20 1,041.71 82.51

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 159.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 262.01 298.00 239.96 249.48 5 2 1 0.13
Annual 12/1/20 232.12 268.39 208.20 233.25 10 6 1 1.37
Annual 12/1/19 212.56 227.20 197.80 212.10 9 7 1 1.54
Quarterly 3/1/20 58.08 64.00 52.03 58.15 4 -- 2 -10.27
Quarterly 6/1/19 74.29 79.70 65.00 74.17 8 5 1 3.57
Quarterly 9/1/19 28.09 34.10 19.10 28.55 8 3 3 3.43
Quarterly 12/1/19 51.99 58.20 47.73 52.05 8 6 -- 7.82

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 159.70 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 156.10 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 219.59 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 56.33 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 40.94 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 15.15 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 49.36 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 25.79
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 23.45 25.30 21.10 23.70 4 -- -- -0.72
Annual 12/1/20 24.70 25.60 22.60 25.30 4 -- -- -0.96
Annual 12/1/19 28.05 29.60 27.35 27.62 4 -- -- 0.23
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 25.79 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 28.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 53.32 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,667.45
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2,228.70 2,326.90 2,186.00 2,203.39 6 3 1 0.26
Annual 12/1/20 2,037.99 2,127.90 1,999.50 2,035.44 13 10 -- 0.83
Annual 12/1/19 1,847.47 1,872.19 1,836.82 1,844.04 12 10 1 1.06
Quarterly 3/1/20 503.67 510.00 492.63 506.34 6 2 1 0.68
Quarterly 6/1/19 507.73 514.37 496.90 508.61 12 11 -- 2.99
Quarterly 9/1/19 430.95 445.36 421.06 430.46 12 5 6 -0.18
Quarterly 12/1/19 456.72 482.10 445.08 455.25 12 7 4 1.24

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,667.45 1,666.19 0.08
Annual 12/1/17 1,503.78 1,502.32 0.10
Annual 12/1/16 1,362.83 1,361.66 0.09
Quarterly 3/1/19 451.62 452.54 -0.20
Quarterly 12/1/18 412.11 410.91 0.29
Quarterly 9/1/18 393.11 390.39 0.70
Quarterly 6/1/18 436.80 438.34 -0.35

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 14.36 10.85 9.95

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 32.70 9.05 11.55